Open Bar — Sunday Night
Posted by SBG on Sunday, October 8th, 2006 at 7:58 pm

• Lucy and I had a nice day today. We ran some errands, did some chores around the place, took a nap, relaxed, etc. In a sense, there is some relief that the baseball season is over. I enjoyed the season tremendously, but a little time with the wife is a good thing, too.
• Joe Sheehan writes about the Detroit victory over Los Yanquis.
It’s hard to not enjoy this a little. Setting aside the matter of my 30-year allegiance to the Yankees, it’s good for baseball when payroll is shown to be a nonfactor in postseason success. More importantly, however, I think it’s great when citiies that have long, stories baseball traditions take the stage. For all the focus on New York and Boston, Detroit is one the great sports cities in America, and a great baseball city. As with anywhere else in America where the owners haven’t beaten down the fan base, a successful team will bring fans to the ballpark and be embraced by the city. What happened in Detroit has happened in Minneapolis, has happened in Oakland, and could just as easily happen in Baltimore, in Pittsbugh or in Denver, with the right mix of decisions.
Well, it's hard to not enjoy this a lot. Nothing is more fun than the scurrying in New York after the Yankees fail to win. The joy that it brings to people like me cannot be truly described. There is no professional sports franchise that I despise more thoroughly than I do the Yankees. For the Tigers to absolutely beat them down is nothing short of fantastic. Forgive me for saying it yet again and if I bring it up for like 20 days straight.
Sheehan does a nice parse job -- payroll is shown to be a non-factor in postseason success. I think what he's saying is that the post season is somewhat of a crapshoot. For example, the Twins hadn't been swept in a series since May 16-18 (although they did lose the first three games in a series with Toronto in the second half). For the Twins to completely fall apart like that was stunning. But, make no mistake. Payroll still makes a big difference over the long haul. It's just that in a short series, anything can happen. The sooner you accept that, the sooner you can find great amusement in the reaction in New York, which hopefully result in more huge signings that don't work out.
• The good news for Vikings fans is that they finally cracked the 20 point barrier. The bad news is that the defense scored more points than the offense and they narrowly avoided a home loss to a team that is now 0-5.
• I'm a know-nothing bandwagon fan of the highest order, but the Wild have caught my eye. After making a big splash in the off-season, they have started 2-0 and Marian Gaborik has two goals and an assist in two games. Sure, the Wild allowed five goals on Saturday night, but they scored six and that's a reason to smile.
• Nick Coleman tells the heartbreaking story about a runner coming to the aid of a fallen comrade in last weekend's Twin Cities Marathon.
• Guess who led the major leagues in three pitch strikeouts (with 56)? He also led the major league in three pitch strike outs in which every pitch was offered at (with 23). Hell, he also led the major leagues in strikeouts.
• The local media is all but convinced that Torii Hunter will be back in a Twins uniform in 2007. Jason Williams suggests that Hunter would entertain a four year, $32 million deal. Williams also calls Hunter the best center fielder in the American League. I think that's a stretch. He also says that Hunter's "leadership in a young clubhouse helps offset" his "swing-for-the-fences and impatient approach at the plate". He also says that Hunter doesn't want just the one year because "he doesn't want to deal with trade rumors again." That's hogwash. Hunter wants a long term deal he can take to the bank. Just like I would if I were in his position. I've said several times now that I think Hunter's not the smartest player around, but let me be clear about one thing. When it comes to manipulating the media, he's as smart as they come around here.
• Top Jimmy: "[The Twins'] bullpen was deep enough to keep them in virtually every game over the last four months of the season, but it lacked the set roles and power arms that win in October." Whatever. This was the best bullpen in the league and it has power arms galore. And Bert the set roles, just bring in the best reliever in the most critical spot. Oh, and three games is not a way to judge a bullpen. Small sample size, people!
• More Top Jimmy:
For all of the winning he has done, Twins manager Ron Gardenhire is still a work in progress. This year he displayed the charisma and leadership that helped alter the course of the season, but he still makes too many emotional decisions, such as urging GM Terry Ryan to trade a decent prospect for veteran DH Phil Nevin, then quickly growing disenchanted with Nevin.
The cure: Hire Paul Molitor to be his bench coach and restructure the coaching staff. Nobody sees the game or commands the respect of players like Molitor, and his calm could be the perfect foil for Gardy's emotionalism.
At last! Someone who is willing to say that Gardy is maybe not the greatest manager ever! Wow!
• Still more Top Jimmy: "Gardenhire was manager of the year in the AL." What. Ever.
• Reusse says a mouthful -- the Twins emphasis on starting pitching is the key to their success.
What'll you have?



hate to break it to Top Jimmy, but Molitor as bench coach would do nothing to soothe Gardy. Bench coach does not have veto power over managerial emotions or delusions. Molotor is not going to keep Gardy from thinking that Punto and Tyner are just as valuable offensively as someone who hits extra base hits and stuff. The bench coach is the guy who coordinates everything the scouting and video staff has put together to give the players and gardy information.
The curse of winning is that Gardy will get more credit than he deserves and he, like his predecessor has "earned" a contract for life with this franchise. Who do you think this is -- the Yankees? Sigh.
In regards to Torii Hunter - It takes an IQ of roughly 95 and a 3rd grade education to be smart enough to manipulate the media. Apparently, you can be dumb enough to dive for a ball with 2 outs and a man on first 1-0 in a tied game in the postseason, and STILL be smart enough to have the media eating out of your hands.
My offseason hopes - First and foremost I want to see a real DH. Then I want to see Silva gone. If those two things happen I will be content enough to put up with Torii staying at what will inevitably be an overpriced contract.
A couple of thoughts:
SBG, your commentary on Jeter's leadership in this morning's Cup of Coffee is spot on. Thank you for an injection of sanity into the myth called Cap'n Dreamy. Your piece was so far from half-bakedness that it was actually burnt 'round the edges.
Some interesting (or just random) year-end stats (AL only): Justin Morneau tied for the lead in sac flies (11). Punto and Castillo were second and third in sac hits (10 and 9, respectively). Morneau and Cuddyer were eigth and tenth in XBH (72 and 70, respectively; btw, Jeter was 35th). Mauer was sixth in the AL in GIDP, but look at top seven: Miguel Tejada, Michael Young, Victor Martinez, Paul Konerko, Troy Glaus, Joe Mauer, Alex Rodriguez and Mike Lowell (tied). Mauer led the AL in BB/K (and by a wide margin) and was also third in IBB.
I'm looking forward to some good discussion--and it's already begun--about what the Twins ought to do in the offseason. Let's hope Kubel and Liriano are healthy and effective next year; if nothing else, they will cover a multitude of offseason signing sins.
I think what he’s saying is that the post season is somewhat of a crapshoot. For example, the Twins hadn’t been swept in a series since May 16-18 (although they did lose the first three games in a series with Toronto in the second half). For the Twins to completely fall apart like that was stunning.
To win the World Series or any kind of tournament takes some amount of good luck, but I think many of the mistakes we saw the Twins make in the ALDS were just a concentrated manifestation of problems or potential issues that have been lurking for awhile.
Hacking at pitches out of the zone and taking foolish risks on the basepaths are hallmarks of Gardy's teams. The lineup this season has depended a lot on singles falling in for the "piranhas" and perfectly timed hits with runners on base. It's not a great surprise to see the rookie SS tighten up in elimination game, considering the way he's been handled since last year; and it's no surprise at all to see Torii make the mistakes he made in the series. And who is shocked that Radke dug himself a little hole in the 2nd inning of Game 3, or, given the condition of his shoulder, that he only lasted 4 innings? Depth of the rotation has been a concern for quite awhile.
Sometimes a team can get away with fundamental flaws over the course of a season, given all the bad/mediocre opponents, pitching mismatches, and series pitted against the back end of an opponent's rotation. But in a playoff series matched against a top team with its best pitchers on the mound, those flaws may be badly exposed.
If the Twins had lost the series in a close Game 5 which hinged on one or two key plays that didn't go their way, I might feel more inclined to write it off as bad luck, say it's just a crapshoot. But the Twins just lost 3 straight, by an aggregate score of 16-7, in a series in which they never held a lead. Right now, I have to admit, the A's are just the better team.
I just tried posting this, but the system didn't put it on the board. If this turns out to be a duplicate, sorry....
I think what he’s saying is that the post season is somewhat of a crapshoot. For example, the Twins hadn’t been swept in a series since May 16-18 (although they did lose the first three games in a series with Toronto in the second half). For the Twins to completely fall apart like that was stunning.
To win the World Series or any kind of tournament takes some amount of good luck, but I think many of the mistakes we saw the Twins make in the ALDS were just a concentrated manifestation of problems or potential issues that have been lurking for awhile.
Hacking at pitches out of the zone and taking foolish risks on the basepaths are hallmarks of Gardy's teams. The lineup this season has depended a lot on singles falling in for the "piranhas" and perfectly timed hits with runners on base. It's not a great surprise to see the rookie SS tighten up in elimination game, considering the way he's been handled since last year; and it's no surprise at all to see Torii make the mistakes he made in the series. And who is shocked that Radke dug himself a little hole in the 2nd inning of Game 3, or, given the condition of his shoulder, that he only lasted 4 innings? Depth of the rotation has been a concern for quite awhile.
Sometimes a team can get away with fundamental flaws over the course of a season, given all the bad/mediocre opponents, pitching mismatches, and series pitted against the back end of an opponent's rotation. But in a playoff series matched against a top team with its best pitchers on the mound, those flaws may be badly exposed.
If the Twins had lost the series in a close Game 5 which hinged on one or two key plays that didn't go their way, I might feel more inclined to write it off as bad luck, say it's just a crapshoot. But the Twins just lost 3 straight, by an aggregate score of 16-7, in a series in which they never held a lead. Right now, I have to admit, the A's are just the better team.
Looking at things strictly based on results, the playoff crapshoot discussion definitely works out in Gardy's favor. Moss has frequently used Gardy's playoff performance as a case for firing him. Taking a mile-high view of the thing, though, Gardy should be judged more on his in-season results than his post-season results. And by "results" I mean "wins."
(I realize there are a lot more reasons to fire Gardy that have been laid out there. And I realize that his in-season results probably were questionable in the previous Division Championship years. But when it comes down to it, if the playoffs are truly a crapshoot, then they can't really be used as a top five reason to fire Gardy. This calculus is clearly different for managers of teams like the Yanquis and the Blood Sox since their payrolls break the formula.)
Moss doesn't just focus on the playoffs. Gardy's performance in the playoffs is merely an extension of his performance in the regular season. Moss' point is that the Twins can't advance in the playoffs with him as manager, unless they are overwhelmingly better than their opponent.
Moss would love for the Twins to have odds as good as a crapshoot, but they are 2-13 in the last 15. It's time to walk away from the table.
Moss doesn't just focus on the playoffs. Gardy's performance in the playoffs is merely an extension of his performance in the regular season. Moss' point is that the Twins can't advance in the playoffs with him as manager, unless they are overwhelmingly better than their opponent.
Moss would love for the Twins to have odds as good as a cr*pshoot, but they are 2-13 in the last 15. It's time to walk away from the table.
Yes, Torii is clearly a better centerfielder than, say, Grady Sizemore.
Where lies the line between just being a run-of-the-mill media sycophant and actively schilling for a contract extension for your favorite quote-machine? The press is practically negotiating on TFOTF's behalf, so desparate are they to avoid seeing him leave town. For if he does, you see, they'd then have to ingratiate themselves to another media whore, and the rest of that clubhouse doesn't exactly strike me as the type to be enamoured of such things.
+10
This makes me fear the numerous articles next spring about how the Twins play well despite being unlikable. Sign Torii now!!!
(Or maybe without an entrenched veteran in the dugout, Gardy would see fit to compliment some of the younger players.)