Cup of Coffee — October 9, 2006
October 9th, 2006 by SBG
• Once again, I have to start out by quoting Joe Sheehan, a writer whose columns I surely enjoy, even if I don't always agree. A professed Yankee fan, Sheehan nevertheless has his eyes open.
Torre’s handling of the Rodriguez situation is perhaps the blackest mark on his record. Going so far as to bat him eighth in a playoff game, a move guaranteed to make him a point of discussion, would have been the nadir if he hadn’t already reached that in the pages of SI. Torre made his bones in New York by keeping controversy out of the clubhouse; he made a boner by turning his clubhouse into a circus this year.
As far as Jeter goes, any claims to a captaincy or leadership skills are and will remain in doubt. His refusal to provide a full-throated defense of the player whose willingness to take his Gold Gloves to third base allowed the illusion of Jeter’s defensive prowess to grow to a point where he could get his own hardware is as much to blame as Torre’s sudden open-mouth policy. He could have stopped this with 50 well-chosen words. He didn’t, and it’s fair to wonder why.
Like I've already said, Torre's throwing of an inner circle Hall of Famer under the bus is indefensible -- and it's just the type of thing that I abhored when I saw ScruFi doing it last year. The SI article is something that Torre should be ashamed of. It's like ScruFi's hamhanded calling out of Mauer and Morneau last in the paper X 1000.
And, as for The Captain, it was pretty clear that he had no desire to provide Rodriguez any assistance whatsoever. That's not leadership, that's the opposite of leadership. A leader helps his men succeed. A leader protects his troops. I don't care if Jeter doesn't like A-Rod. A leader sets aside things such as personal feelings and does what's best for the team. The only quality that I've seen other than his ability to play baseball is his ability to spout platitudes about the World Series being the only thing (it's not) and his ability to pump his fist when something has gone right for his team. What does he do when things go wrong, such as, say when a star player is getting grilled in a media that fawns over Jeter? Nothing. Jeter's no leader, and I don't care what Rick Sutcliffe says.
All summer long all of the New York Yankees' problems were laid at Alex Rodriguez's feet. Now, in a four game series, A-Rod failed to produce and everyone points to A-Rod as the problem. Well, when you put absolutely unbearable weight on a man and he crumbles, are you surprised? A-Rod doesn't want to leave New York because he no doubt believes it will be a black mark on his legacy. I think, however, for his own personal well-being, he needs to move, possibly to Los Angeles, and resume his Hall of Fame career.
• I read the Hardball Times recap of the Twins/A's series. The lead sentence? "At least Nick Punto didn't try to slide head-first into first base in this game." What an embarassment Punto's head-first sliding was in that series. For a while, it seemed that only SBG Nation was embarrassed. Listening to the broadcast of games, Punto was lauded for his effort. He should have been fined. Ugh. It pisses me off that ScruFi didn't put a stop to that as soon as he saw it.
• Tom Powers describes the Twins playoff run thusly: "But the 2006 Twins season was like a delicate cake that was removed half-baked from the oven." He also writes this: "Some will point to the great summer comeback and declare 2006 a great success. But it wasn't." Hoo boy. Someone forgot that the playoffs are a crapshoot.
What's on your mind?



E-6 replied on October 9, 2006 at 9:09:19 am
Powers columns aren't even half-baked. They're more like sashimi. Two week old sashimi.
A nice bit of "fake news" concerning the Captain here:
http://www.thephatphree.com/features.asp?SectionID=12&StoryID=3136&LayoutType=1
Beau replied on October 9, 2006 at 10:18:23 am
Didn't the announcers for Game 1 actually criticize Punto for sliding into first?
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 11:14:08 am
They definitely did, but the point is that the Twins' announcers (Bremer, Blyleven, etc.) refuse to really criticize Punto to the degree that this stupidity warrants. Sliding head-first into first is almost as stupid as hitting cross-handed or something, and certainly no one would stand for that.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 12:37:55 pm
Right, I meant regular season broadcasts, but my post only says broadcasts. Half-baked. Sigh.
Whiffers replied on October 9, 2006 at 11:06:02 am
I am travelling this week and just made it to my hotel room. Flipping through the channels, I stopped on the World Wide Leader in Sports, ESPN.
From what I've seen over the last 15 minutes, I have to make the assumption that the ALCS has been cancelled.
Can the media please remove their mouths from the Yankees? Please?
SDfan replied on October 9, 2006 at 11:36:18 am
After game 4, the World Wide Leader in Sycophants interviewed one Detroit Tiger, for maybe 30 seconds, and spend probably 5 or 6 minutes on separate interviews with Captain Leadership and Alex Rodriguez. It was pathetic. I can't believe how far that network has slid into irrelevancy. I basically never watch it, other than the occasional check of ESPN News.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 12:38:22 pm
We clearly fall for it, though. Look at how much time we sit here discussing the adventures of Captain Dreamboat and Lightning-Rod. Four paragraphs on the Yankees today from the Worldwide Leader in Half-Baked Crap and nothing on the ALCS.
SDfan replied on October 9, 2006 at 1:02:46 pm
Good point.
On the ALCS, who do you like? The A's looked awfully solid against the Twins, but Detroit just dismantled a team that most people thought couldn't be stopped offensively. This looks like a low-scoring series, to me, where the strength of both teams is pitching. Excellent starters (maybe Harden is able to start a game?), deep & talented bullpens, and solid defense pretty much everywhere. The A's outfield caught everything in the last series, while the Tigers infield - with Polanco back - is really really good.
I think I'll give the edge to Detroit, because I think their lineup is a little better and they have home-field advantage. If they're smart, and pitch around Thomas, then there's not much else in the A's lineup that can hurt them. As bad as Detroit looked a week ago when getting swept by the Royals, I like them to win it all now (because let's face it; the NL opponent in the World Series will be lucky to win one game). A's - Tigers - this looks like the real W.S., with a 5-game victory lap afterwards.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 2:46:44 pm
I actually think that each team's biggest strength is its defense, with the A's having a slight advantage in the pitching department. As you mention, the A's are more of an OF-centered defensive team, where the Tigers' main strength is their infield defense. Playing in a huge park like Comerica might give a slight edge to the A's defense.
I also like the A's offense a little better in a playoff series just because they have such a good approach at the plate. The ability to go to the plate and see a bunch of pitches is probably over-rated at this point in time, but it can still be important. It seemed like almost every mistake that the Twins made, the A's were all over it. For all the talk about how Scutaro was clutch, to me, the impressive thing was that he was able to wait around until he got something really meaty to hit, and then he just put a nice swing on it. The Tigers don't have a terrible approach, but they are more free-swinging than the A's.
And for all the attention that Zumaya gets, the A's bullpen is deeper and overall better than the Tigers.
But either way, it's two really good teams that are certainly capable of playing great baseball. It sure seems like we'll get lots of close, hotly contested games, with hopefully a smattering of web gem-worthy plays. I'm looking forward to it.
AMR replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:14:08 pm
The A's have home-field advantage. Detroit is the WC and can only get HFA in the WS.
SDfan replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:39:54 pm
Cripes - talk about half-baked. I can't believe I forgot that.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:18:38 pm
In my defense, I'm enjoying some schadenfreude on an off day. I'll be running game logs on the ALCS and NLCS.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:20:28 pm
Eh, I don't care much. It seems reasonable to me to talk about the Yankees today and then ignore them for the next two weeks. After all, they won't be playing ball for a while.
Algonad replied on October 9, 2006 at 12:41:19 pm
If Detroit and St Louis meet in the World Series, with Sportscenter lead off with highlights from the Knicks' training camp?
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 12:48:54 pm
Probably, but part of the reason for that is that all of Tony La Russa's pitching changes would prevent the games from finishing before Sportscenter starts.
Of course, Detroit and St. Louis would get way more coverage than Oakland and St. Louis. Personally, I'm hoping for Oakland vs. New York. Without looking really closely at the Mets and the Cards, the Mets were way better in the regular season, so I think that matchup would provide the best opportunity for good baseball in the World Series. As a viewer, I just want to see good baseball. (Plus, Joe Buck is partial to the Cards in addition to being partial to Derek Jeter. Perhaps this is because he owes his career to his father's broadcasting for that team.)
Nick N. replied on October 9, 2006 at 12:51:27 pm
I am never going to understand why you people become so enraged about Punto sliding into first base. Even if it does decrease a player's chance of reaching the base safely (which is debatable), the difference is not very large. Injury risk? Sure, but Punto never got hurt doing it this year, even though he did it seemingly a couple times a week. And are you telling me there's no injury risk in running hard through first base? On many occasions I have seen players pull a hamstring by stretching their leg on that last step, or jam their knee hitting the bag.
To some extent, I do understand the frustration with Punto's tendency to dive into first base, but by now it's been blown way out of proportion around here. Calling for a player to be fined for playing the game hard and doing what he thinks gives him the best chance to reach base safely is ludacrous.
SDfan replied on October 9, 2006 at 1:08:44 pm
What if what he's doing is NOT giving his team the best chance to win? It's pretty much straight science - a runner will reach first base most quickly by running through the bag, not diving for it. People whose job is to run quickly from point A to point B (track athletes) don't often pull a Punto at the finish line.
Also, he is much less able to take second on an errant throw than if he runs through the base. Those two factors alone make it a bad idea in my book. Just because a player thinks it's a good idea doesn't necessarily mean it is. Either Punto is the smartest player in the major leagues - since he's the only one I know of who does this so frequently - or he's doing something wrong that's hurting his team.
Nick N. replied on October 9, 2006 at 2:43:55 pm
I'm not sure it is such a "straight science." The track runner analogy doesn't work for me -- a track runner is simply trying to run past a finish line whereas a baserunner must step on a relatively small base, and thus often has to adjust his steps in order to to make sure he lands on the base. This can force a runner to slow down as he prepares reach the bag.
While it still may be true that running through the base is in most cases a few milliseconds faster, I can say from experience that it's a much tougher call for the umpire when a runner is sliding and reaching with his hand than when the ump can simply time the ball smacking the glove and the cleat thumping the bag. In many instances, the umpire will give the benefit of the doubt to the baserunner.
As I said, both sides of the case have some merit, and while I'm not saying that I necessarily condone Punto diving into first on essentially every close play (I don't), I think it gets blown way out of proportion on this site and it's not as huge of an issue as some people are making it seem.
brianS replied on October 9, 2006 at 2:59:53 pm
Naw. It's pretty much straight science. Think about the amount of friction the slider creates with the ground without adding ANY forward force. alternately, if the runner dives toward the base, no added friction, but still the loss of forward impetus. You'd have to have a pretty mean forward lean in your natural running style not to lose a lot of forward momentum transitioning from the running motion to the dive.
I would agree that the difference is pretty minimal. But we are talking about bang-bang plays, so milliseconds matter.
I would also agree that the call is harder for the ump because the ball and the slider are so separated in his visual field. But I don't see how that generates a systematic advantage to the runner. Sounds like coin-flip territory to me, unless you really believe that "tie goes to the runner" bunk.
Add on the very plausibly increased risk of hand or wrist injury, the first-base dive/slide is not justifiable.
bjhess replied on October 9, 2006 at 1:50:16 pm
Plus it makes me feel like I'm watching a slow-pitch softball game with some townie as a lead-off hitter.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 2:37:06 pm
Even if it does decrease a player’s chance of reaching the base safely (which is debatable), the difference is not very large.
Not debatable. It's physics. Sliding/diving is slower than running through.
Injury risk? Sure, but Punto never got hurt doing it this year, even though he did it seemingly a couple times a week.
If I walk across the street without looking, that increases my chance of death. Just because I might get away with it a couple of times doesn't make it a good idea for me to continue walking across the street without looking.
Whether or not Punto gets hurt is beside the point. It's the added risk that matters.
And are you telling me there’s no injury risk in running hard through first base? On many occasions I have seen players pull a hamstring by stretching their leg on that last step, or jam their knee hitting the bag.
Running through the base doesn't mean that you should lunge at the end, increasing your risk for injury. It's nice if a player can eke out a couple of extra hits during the course of the year by hustling hard to first base. Those hits aren't worth added injury risk, though.
Calling for a player to be fined for playing the game hard and doing what he thinks gives him the best chance to reach base safely is ludacrous.
It doesn't give him the best chance. So, you explain to him that he's wrong. Then, if he doesn't listen to you, he's being insubordinate. Hence, the fine.
Nick N. replied on October 9, 2006 at 2:59:05 pm
Wow, that was a very "I'm right, you're wrong" set of statements. I'll go through them and attempt to at least defend against them to some degree.
Not debatable. It’s physics. Sliding/diving is slower than running through.
See what I wrote above. There are various reasons that running through a base is not the same as running across a finish line, and sliding in also makes for a more difficult call for the umpire. As for your statement that players shouldn't lunge at the end when running to first, well guess what, on a close play almost every player does so because they want to put in every ounce of effort toward beating that throw.
Whether or not Punto gets hurt is beside the point. It’s the added risk that matters.
Seeing as how we're looking at this retrospectively, I would disagree with this completely. He didn't get hurt, so the perceived added risk means absolutely nothing.
It’s nice if a player can eke out a couple of extra hits during the course of the year by hustling hard to first base. Those hits aren’t worth added injury risk, though.
Yeah, so instead of risking any type of injury, how about if every player just jogs to first base every time they make contact and automatically resigns any infield groundball to be an out? That's some good baseball to watch right there. Then these athletes will really be earning those big bucks. For that matter, let's have pitchers start throwing underhand so they won't risk hurting their arms, and let's tell Torii never to dive for another ball in the outfield.
Injury risk be damned, I want my players running hard and trying to eke out a hit every time they put the ball in play, and it's for that reason that I can't stand watching players like Miguel Tejada. Yeah, Tejada never gets hurt and he can put up some numbers, but I have very little respect for him as a player because he is lazy and lethargic.
brianS replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:10:42 pm
I didn't pay attention to ubelmann's response before writing mine. so I guess we were largely redundant.
Nick, the physics really is NOT debatable. You are now offering a different argument, hinging on an unsubstantiated claim that umpires are biased in favor of runners when the call is close AND the runner is separated from the path of the ball in the umpire's visual field. I assert that the proper "null hypothesis" here is that close play calls are a coin flip, NOT biased. Umpire performance is pretty closely monitored by the league, is it not? I have a hard time believing that umps who show systematic bias would survive very long in the big leagues.
arguing that because Punto didn't get hurt, "the perceived added risk means absolutely nothing" is, well, specious. OF COURSE past good luck means nothing for future outcomes. So the added risk remains.
there is absolutely no evidence that diving/sliding into first provides an advantage. there is very good reason to believe that headfirst slides are more likely to lead to injury than not sliding (or feet-first slides). Put two and two together, and you should be getting four here: don't dive on the routine, bang-bang play at first.
the only instance I can think of in which a dive/slide might make sense is in trying to avoid a tag.
Nick N. replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:25:34 pm
Did Punto avoid injury on head-first slides this season because he was lucky or because he has become proficient enough at it that he knows how to do it without getting hurt? Who knows. Can you prove anything one way or the other? All we have to go by is that he didn't get hurt doing it, so I don't really understand why there is so much complaining about it.
brianS replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:45:59 pm
Well, I actually agree that it's not that big a deal. No, he's not gaining an advantage. Yes, he's exposing himself to additional injury risk for no purpose. But no, it's not that big a deal.
A much bigger deal would be his August and September performance (274/345/358 in August; 252/266/294 in September). Punto had ONE good month all season (374/432/515 in July, but with 15 Ks against only 10 BBs -- and 11 of his season-total 29 XBH).
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:18:58 pm
I don't have a huge problem with Punto's August. 15 K's against 12 BB's, and getting to a .345 OBP is fine. His September of 18 K's against 3 BB's troubles me more.
When the dust cleared, Punto hit .290/.352/.373 this season and Castillo hit .296/.358/.370. To me, it looks like the Twins have two alright candidates for second base next year in Punto and Castillo, but they should choose between the two, put their choice at second base, and find an average fielder with some pop at third base.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:22:46 pm
So, I'm taking Punto at second and saving $5+ million on Castillo.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:41:11 pm
I think Punto's September made it a lot more difficult choice. Castillo's been doing it for longer, so I think it's more likely Castillo replicates this year's line than Punto does. Either way, I hope the Twins make sure they have someone on the roster who can spell the middle infielders more often than Elrod did this year.
Punto might also have more trade value than you'd expect. Scott Podsednik and a live arm once landed Carlos Lee. The Twins could do well to cash in on what might very well be Nick Punto's "Lew Ford 2004 Memorial" season.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:27:01 pm
This article says that there is no statistical difference in speed between sliding feet first or head first! Perhaps Punto should slide into first base feet first to avoid injury. Or maybe, he should RUN THROUGH THE BASE.
Rhubarb_Runner replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:03:08 pm
Yeah, how many baserunners do you see decelerating on their last 2 steps to first? Pretty much all of them? I'm impressed with Punto's desire to get to first, but I'd be more impressed with him being one of the few who is running through the bag.
I consider myself a better than average softball player, but one thing I always do is sprint through 1B on a groundball. It's the least I can do. And I'm not paid to do that.
btw, what would it take to satisfy the non-scientific community that sliding is in no way faster, an analysis by Bill Nye, the Science Guy? The only uses I can see for sliding are A) for getting below a tag, or B) to quickly halt your forward motion. B is immaterial at first, as you are allowed to pass the bag without being tagged out.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:12:09 pm
Yeah, sliding to get below a tag is cool in my book, too. Although, most of the time, it seems as though the feet-first slide is better at avoiding a tag than the head-first slide.
John replied on October 9, 2006 at 3:38:20 pm
Nick, if you think there is no risk when the event dosen't occur during the relative time period, try asking for your fire insurance premium back when your house dosen't burn down.
brianS replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:00:16 pm
It occurs to me...how much will ESPN and/or Fox pay to get Cap'n Dreamboat in the studio to comentatorate? Surely that would get the New Yawk and gurl viewership up for at least the pre- and post-game shows.
Of course, then we'd have to car bomb the studios.
Rhubarb_Runner replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:06:06 pm
Ha! I don't think the booth could deal with that amount of leadership.
Algonad replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:13:51 pm
Does anybody here read Peter King's MMQB column on si.com? I know SBG isn't an NFL guy so he probably doesn't.
Anyway, PK has a major man-crush on Jeter. Today's column was classic butt kissing.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:46:10 pm
I've read that drivel. King once informed the world that his daughter was born in the same hospital as Derek Jeter. What the point of that disclosure was, I don't know.
Nick N. replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:35:15 pm
I think it's funny how much people are miscontstruing my argument because they get defensive over a point they feel strongly about.
Nowhere did I say that sliding into first base is faster than running through it. On the contrary, I specifically stated that I would rather see a player run through the base than slide in. My whole point is that I think that some people here blow it way out of proportion, and I really don't understand why. The difference in likelihood of a safe call is negligible, and while there might be an increased injury risk, Punto did not get hurt this year, so no harm no foul.
I guess maybe I'm just an old school type of fan (which is odd, since I'm probably one of then younger readers here). I like watching players go out and hustle and play their asses off. Ubelmann loves stats, and he cares about results. There's nothing wrong with that, and his broad knowledge of statistics and odds are a major reason I enjoy reading what he writes. But Punto plays harder than anyone else on this team, and I love watching players who play with heart. If that means he wants to dirty up his uniform and dive into first base, so be it. I certainly wouldn't call for him to be punished for it.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 4:53:11 pm
Nowhere did I say that sliding into first base is faster than running through it. On the contrary, I specifically stated that I would rather see a player run through the base than slide in.
I think that's the entire point of everyone's displeasure. Since he is slower, he is reducing the likelihood of actually being safe. If he slides into an out in a situation (say in a playoff game) where he would otherwise be safe, then he'd be costing his team an out in a potentially crucial time.
If you like hustle then you would have loved watching Kirby bust his ass down the line on every ball. That was hustle, even if the jersey didn't get dirty.
By your logic, Nick, you'd have nothing to say about Hunter's play in game 2. After all, he ran and dove after a ball. What is more hustle than that? The problem is that it was a foolhardy play that cost his team two runs. A mental mistake, if you will, just like the decision to slide into first.
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:09:30 pm
I don't see it as an either/or thing. Punto can hustle his ever-loving heart out on every part of the ballfield except for one step around first base, where he ought to exercise caution not to injure himself and also run through the base because it's faster. From where I sit, the gains are minimal (a couple extra IF singles) and the risks are large (sitting out a month or two at a time.)
There's a line between hustle and poor decision-making, and I think head-first slides into first base cross that line.
E-6 replied on October 9, 2006 at 7:06:59 pm
I'd really hoped that Punto and/or Gardentool had watched the All-Star game this year and heard the Fox talking heads repeating over and over why the Met SS wasn't playing, even though he was voted to the starting line-up. Alas, they were probably fishing.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/allstar06/news/story?id=2515035
brianS replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:25:53 pm
Ha! Jim Caple writes "Trade Jeter, not A-Rod".
what the hell happened to Jim Caple? When did he become all sensible and stuff -- or have I not been paying attention?
ubelmann replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:42:58 pm
He's been sensible as long as I can remember. He's pretty partial to the Twins, if anything.
SBG replied on October 9, 2006 at 5:45:50 pm
He used to write for the Pioneer Press, which explains his partiality to the Twins.
bjhess replied on October 9, 2006 at 8:13:45 pm
It's like Top Jimmy without the schilling and really old pop-culture/current events references.
brink replied on October 9, 2006 at 7:26:16 pm
Tom Powers describes the Twins playoff run thusly: “But the 2006 Twins season was like a delicate cake that was removed half-baked from the oven.†He also writes this: “Some will point to the great summer comeback and declare 2006 a great success. But it wasn’t.†Hoo boy. Someone forgot that the playoffs are a crapshoot.
"Forgot"? I'd put my money on "never knew."