Lovely Meter Maid
Posted by SBG on Monday, October 30th, 2006 at 5:40 am
It's Monday morning and Lucy and I are on our way back to Minneapolis. It was a great time in Raleigh. We went to Lucy's college roommate's surprise 40th birrhday party. Her husband put on a great party, and we had a great time.
Last night we went out for dinner with Lucy's friends and their neighbors. The neighbor had an art collection that we had to check out. It was quite impressive, but what caught my eye was his guitar. It was Mick Jagger's guitar, signed by all of the Rolling Stones. He bought it at an auction at the Super Bowl. Very nice.
It's early, we are tired, but we had a great time.
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Was Wendy at the party?
Great, now I'm going to have that song stuck in my head all day.
It could have been worse. It could have been "Leaving on a Jet Plane."
Hmmm. Perhaps!
No Wendy.
Grampa Sports actually has something to say today! Neat angle on Red Auerbach's role in integrating the NBA.
Props where props are due. I never knew that Harlem Globetrotters' impresario Abe Saperstein was actively pressuring NBA owners not to integrate so that he could have his pick of black college players.
Hi ho, Silva -- 2007 Twin.
There was no way the Twins could replace his contributions for less than $4mm, NO WAY.
Ugh.
tongue in cheek, Whiffers? It seems to me that Matt Guerrier could easily replace Silva's contribution in the starting rotation for less than $4 million, with Eyre and some minimum-salary placeholder replacing Guerrier's long relief role.
I'm guessing that was a jab at the ludicrous Jason Williams quote of last year.
I had NO IDEA
OK, I'll argue in favor of keeping Silva. Looking at the past 3 seasons, Silva is a league average pitcher who offers 180+ IP per season. I don't know if you can count on Guerrier or any other internal option (non-Santana/Liriano/Bonser/Garza) to give that sort of production. And similar FA signings would likely be in the likes of Suppan/Weaver/Meche, all of whom will cost much more than that. This of course would mean that 2006 was some sort of fluke, and his actual performance is somewhere in the middle of 2005/2006.
Silva's WSAB in 2005: +8; 2006: -3. Average is +2.5. Matt Guerrier in 2005: +2, 2006:+3 in a lot fewer innings.
Plug +2.5 WSAB and $4 million into Hardball Times' net Win Shares Value calculator to get a -$259K mark. I guess I could live with that if I were Terry Ryan. But promoting Matt Guerrier and replacing his bullpen work with an indentured servant would save a couple of million dollars for what looks to me like no expected performance hit. Guerrier is under-employed in the bullpen.