SBG Nation Provides Your Daily Source for Half-Baked Crap

TOP 40 VORP: Eric Milton

Posted by SBG on Friday, February 23rd, 2007 at 10:01 pm

The Top 40 VORP list continues with the player that accumulated the 21st highest VORP total as a member of the Minnesota Twins, Eric Milton.

Eric Milton was a left handed starting pitcher with the Minnesota Twins from 1998-2003. The major prize of the Chuck Knoblauch trade, Milton was thrust into the starting rotation as a 22 year old rookie. Milton showed promise and stuck in the starting rotation for the rest of his Twins career. However, he never really became the pitcher that a lot of Twins fans may have hoped for. The Twins eventually traded Milton to the Philadelphia Phillies after the 2003 season, netting Carlos Silva and Nick Punto, as well avoiding Milton’s $9,000,000 2004 salary. The sixth starter and eighth pitcher overall on the TOP 40 VORP list, Milton was a good, but not great starter. I was a fan of Eric Milton and he is one of the top 21 players, but I was thrilled when the Twins moved him. Such is the life of a baseball fan, I suppose.


eric-milton.jpg
6’3 220 LBS. Bats Left and Throws Left. Born 1975 in State College, PA.
Member of the Twins from 1998-2003 Uniform #41 (1998-99) #21 (2000-03)
VORP as a Twin: 149.9 Rank: 21st

Yr Ag Tm W L G GS CG SH IP H R ER HR BB SO HP WP BF IBB BK ERA lg ERA ERA + WH IP VORP Pitch VORP
98 22 MIN 8 14 32 32 1 0 172.3 195 113 108 25 70 107 2 1 772 0 0 5.64 4.70 83 1.54 11.5 9.2
99 23 MIN 7 11 34 34 4 2 206.3 190 111 103 28 63 163 3 2 858 2 0 4.49 5.07 113 1.23 43.5 43.4
00 24 MIN 13 10 33 33 0 0 200 205 123 108 35 44 160 7 5 849 0 0 4.86 5.27 108 1.25 30 30.3
01 25 MIN 15 7 35 34 2 1 220.7 222 109 106 35 61 157 5 2 944 0 0 4.32 4.53 105 1.28 40.3 40.6
02 26 MIN 13 9 29 29 2 1 171 173 96 92 24 30 121 3 4 707 0 0 4.84 4.42 91 1.19 18.3 17.2
03 27 MIN 1 0 3 3 0 0 17 15 5 5 2 1 7 0 0 66 0 0 2.65 4.62 175 0.94 6.3 6.3
04 28 PHI 14 6 34 34 0 0 201 196 110 106 43 75 161 1 3 862 6 0 4.75 4.36 92 1.35
05 29 CIN 8 15 34 34 0 0 186.3 237 141 134 40 52 123 7 8 855 2 0 6.47 4.44 69 1.55
06 30 CIN 8 8 26 26 0 0 152.7 163 94 88 29 42 90 5 2 662 4 0 5.19 4.81 93 1.34
Twins 57 51 166 165 9 4 987.3 1000 557 522 149 269 715 20 14 4196 2 0 4.76 1.29 149.9 147
After Twins 30 29 94 94 0 0 540 596 345 328 112 169 374 13 13 2379 12 0 5.47 1.42
Career 87 80 260 259 9 4 1527.3 1596 902 850 261 438 1089 33 27 6575 14 0 5.01 4.70 94 1.33

Eric Milton was drafted out of the University of Maryland in the first round of the 1996 amateur draft by the New York Yankees. Milton pitched one season in the minors with the Yankees and semi-famously acquired a tattoo of the New York Yankees logo on his pitching shoulder. Of course, Milton never pitched for the Yanks and he had to get the second tattoo with a Twins logo.

Milton came up with the Twins in 1998 and made an auspicious debut, pitching six shutout innings to beat the Kansas City Royals. Johnny Damon, the first batter that Milton ever faced, singled, but Milton, obviously, got out of the inning. Six days later, Milton again beat the Royals, allowing one earned run in 6 2/3 innings. He came back to earth the next time out when Seattle rocked him for seven runs on eight hits in 2 2/3 innings. Milton had a promising rookie season for a 22 year old, but of course not the type of season that we’ve seen from players like Scott Erickson or Francisco Liriano, for example.

The 1998 Twins weren’t very good, posting a 70-92 record. It would get worse. The 1999 Twins were a dreadful 63-97. Only in the 1982 season has a Twins team lost more games. It was a sad time for the franchise, but Eric Milton had his best season, VORP-wise, as a Twin. He was just 7-11, but he had a 4.49 ERA in a 5.07 ERA league. Milton posted a 43.4 VORP.

On Saturday morning, September 11, 1999, I was driving back from the East Coast trip and as I got to the Twin Cities, I turned onto WCCO, forgetting that it was a Gopher football game day, meaning that the Twins were playing a morning game. By the time I turned on the radio, the game was over. Eric Milton had pitched a no-hitter, striking out 13 and walking just 2. True, the California Angels hadn’t exactly sent out a murderer’s row, but during a season about which there wasn’t much to cheer, a no-hitter was big indeed. The bigger thing was that the 23-year old Milton was an effective pitcher on a team with few effective players. (Actually, the Twins pitching was relatively close to average, the Twins offense was the worst in the league.)

milton-no-hitter.JPG

Milton seemed to plateau right at his 1999 performance. At 23, it would have been reasonable to expect that Milton would continue to improve. Frustratingly, he didn’t. Which is not to say that he wasn’t effective. In 2000, Milton was 13-10 with a 4.86 ERA, posting a 108 ERA+. That’s not exactly great, but he threw 200 innings with a better than league average ERA. That’s a positive result for a 24 year old pitcher. After the 2000 season, the Twins signed Milton to a four year, $21.15 million contract, a formula the Twins have used repeatedly deal with players who have become arbitration eligible (think Mauer, Hunter, Santana, etc.) The Milton deal paid him $2.150 million, $4 million, $6 million, and $9 million in successive years.

Of course, the 2001 season was the year that major league baseball came back to Minnesota. The Twins were enjoying the fruits of the Knoblauch trade, with Milton and Cristian Guzman making the All-Star team and hey, even Brian Buchanan was getting some burn. The Twins were an unbelievable 55-32 at the break before fading to a second place 85-77 finish. Milton had a 15-7 record with a 4.32 ERA and 40.6 VORP.

In 2002, the Twins broke through, as we’ve documented many times already. Milton’s numbers were about the same as in 2000, except that he suffered an arm injury after a three hit shutout in which he was allowed to throw 137 pitches.

In 2003, Eric Milton had pre-season knee surgery and missed most of the season. The Twins went out and signed Kenny Rogers during spring training to replace Eric Milton, which had the effect of keeping Johan Santana in the bullpen for a large part of the season. Milton pitched in three games in September, but for the most part, the season was a lost one.

In the off-season, the Twins, faced with a potentially burgeoning payroll and some difficult decisions pulled off a pair of brilliant trades. One of those trades inspired a very gracious website. The other wasn’t quite as spectacular, but nevertheless turned out quite well. The final year of that four year deal was paid by the Phillies and the Twins got a couple of effective years out of Carlos Silva. In addition, the surprising contribution of Nick Punto in 2006 was another nice dividend from that trade.

Since then, Eric Milton has signed an enormous contract with the Cincinnati Reds and responded with a horrendous 2005 season (-24.3 VORP) and a mediocre at best 2006 season (10.2 VORP). There have been several players in this list so far who played a relatively short time for the Twins and left to fall off dramatically elsewhere (friends, David Ortiz won’t be on this list). Milton is another of those players. He’s given his best seasons to the Minnesota Twins. Milton is still relatively young – he’s going to be 32 in August, but I think it’s safe to say that his best days are behind him.

Eric Milton was a part of the great resurgence of the franchise at the beginning of this century. He came to this team as part of a trade that really helped the franchise back to prominence and he left in another trade that was also pretty helpful for the Twins.


This entry was posted by SBG on Friday, February 23rd, 2007 at 10:01 pm and is filed under Top 40 VORP. It is one of 2393 entries by the author. We are no longer accepting Letters to the Editor on this post. Why?

12 LTEs

Beau
Beau replied on February 23rd, 2007 at 11:56 pm

While the Pierzynski deal reaped more dramatic rewards, it is less baffling than the Milton deal. Taking Milton's salary was a gift in itself, and then to throw in two players? Terry Ryan must have known who was cheating on whose wife that winter.

ubelmann
ubelmann replied on February 24th, 2007 at 4:11 am

I don't know, Milton was a pretty good pitcher. The Phillies were looking at a guy who could strike out six per nine innings and pound the strike zone. At worst, he was essentially a league average innings eater. To the Phillies, Silva was just a middle reliever, and Punto was a utility player. Milton was also still reasonably young (just 28) when he was dealt. Getting a league-average starter in his prime for a middle reliever and a utility player is a deal that most GMs would take in a heartbeat. It took a lot of trust in his scouts for Terry Ryan to believe Carlos Silva could be an effective starting pitcher.

SBG
SBG replied on February 24th, 2007 at 5:45 am

He was a league average innings eater that had eaten 17 innings the season before and was about to make pretty serious cash. I was happy with the salary dump. And then, Silva gave them two pretty good seasons before last year's de-bacle.

brianS
brianS replied on February 24th, 2007 at 12:08 pm

I'm with SBG on this one. Milton was/is a "true outcomes"-heavy pitcher. Lots of big flies given up in Minnesota. Eminently replaceable, but about to get much, much more expensive for Minny.

I thought it was a deal that made good sense for both sides. Milton looked as though he'd probably topped out as a league-average (or so) starter.

 
ubelmann
ubelmann replied on February 24th, 2007 at 2:35 pm

Sure, it was a good move for the Twins, but $9M isn't the same to the Phillies as it is to the Twins. I think it's reasonable to think that Milton was less of a risk (knee injuries are a far cry from arm injuries for pitchers) than converting Silva to the rotation would have been.

It was a good move by Terry Ryan, just that it's not like the Phillies were robbed blind. Punto still has yet to hit better than a generic utility player, and who knows what Silva would have been without Rick Anderson. Each side was able to acquire something it wanted and get rid of stuff it didn't value as much as the other party. Win-win.

Banjo
Banjo replied on February 24th, 2007 at 2:58 pm

This is a hallmark of TRyan's trades and why you always hear that he is so well respected by his peers. The core philosophy seems to be try and make the trade a win-win-win. I do think the Twins go out of there way not to treat the players as cattle and to not try and fleece the other teams - even though at times trades seem to turn out lopsided.

 
 
 
 
 
New Britain Bo
New Britain Bo replied on February 24th, 2007 at 7:52 am

Nice rainbow there. Too hilly for Minnesota, though - I'm guessing out West somewhere.

 
Rhubarb_Runner
Rhubarb_Runner replied on February 24th, 2007 at 8:21 am

Throw it back, Eric - you can do better.

I remember Eric's no-hitter very well. It was the best birthday present he could have given me.

AMR
AMR replied on February 24th, 2007 at 8:39 am

You've probably mentioned this before, but one hell of a birthday draw there, Rhu_ru.

Rhubarb_Runner
Rhubarb_Runner replied on February 24th, 2007 at 3:01 pm

Well, I have a special empathy, for instance, with old timers whose birthday ended up being The Day that Lived in Infamy...

SBG
SBG replied on February 24th, 2007 at 4:47 pm

My brother in law was born on December 7, 1961, the 20th anniversary of Pearl Harbor.

 
 
 
 
spycake
spycake replied on February 24th, 2007 at 8:48 am

Don't forget the Twins got Bobby Korecky in that deal too. And since the Phillies declined arbitration on Milton after 2004, they didn't even get any draft pick compensation for losing him (he probably would have been pricey in arbitration, though!).

 

Sorry, The WGOM is no longer accepting Letters to the Editor on this article.

=