Checking in with an old pal
July 1st, 2008 by ubelmann
I saw that Garza had a pretty good start tonight, and I remembered the start of his season being pretty mediocre (or even bad depending on how you looked at it.) But of course he had an injury to overcome, so I thought I'd check to see if he's just throwing better now:
37 IP, 15 K, 16 BB, 4 HR, 4.86 ERA -- Garza's first 7 starts
46.7 IP, 40 K, 13 BB, 5 HR, 2.89 ERA -- Garza's next 7 starts
So he's started to miss a lot more bats, but with such a small sample size it's tough to say just how much of this has to do with his opponents and how much of it has to do with improvement. After 14 games though the season, he has an xFIP of 4.46, which is pretty decent, but certainly unspectacular and suggests that he's had good support/luck to post a 3.76 ERA over those 14 starts.
Looking back on his PECOTA forecast and other various projections, I guess I'm a little less high on Garza than when the Twins made the trade, but I still think he'll be a decent starting pitcher in the AL.
This entry was posted by ubelmann on Tuesday, July 1st, 2008 at 10:43 pm and is filed under MLB. It is one of 640 entries by the author. We are no longer accepting Letters to the Editor on this post.
Loading ...
zooomx replied on July 2, 2008 at 7:56:19 am
watching the highlights last night has me missing Grant Balfour. His arm is looking electric again.
E-6 replied on July 2, 2008 at 8:33:49 am
Garza has really dialed it up in his last four starts since his little "bugtussle" with catcher Dioner Navarro.
29 IP, 24 K, 4 BB, 1 HR, ERA 1.55
But as a young man in Seattle might say, small sample size.
SBG replied on July 2, 2008 at 8:50:45 am
That's a shiny 2.41 FIP.
socaltwinsfan replied on July 2, 2008 at 10:28:21 am
Playing in front of that Rays defense should make any pitcher's ERA drop. Longoria is the man.