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I’m Just Sayin’

Posted by ubelmann on Monday, July 7th, 2008 at 9:01 pm

Twins Bullpen By 2008 FIP, Entering Monday's game:

1.54 -- Craig Breslow
2.33 -- Joe Nathan
3.71 -- Dennys Reyes
3.76 -- Matt Guerrier
3.90 -- Boof Bonser
4.09 -- Jesse Crain
5.20 -- Brian Bass

Gardy had a bad night with the bullpen management, I'm afraid. Hopefully he bounces back tomorrow.

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This entry was posted by ubelmann on Monday, July 7th, 2008 at 9:01 pm and is filed under Featured Articles, Minnesota Twins. It is one of 614 entries by the author. We are no longer accepting Letters to the Editor on this post. Why?

16 LTEs

SBG
SBG replied on July 7th, 2008 at 9:18 pm

I was putting BabySBG to bed and missed the scoring in the eighth. I came back down and saw that Bass was in. I was perplexed!

greenmachine
greenmachine replied on July 7th, 2008 at 10:17 pm

You think Gardy's trying to get Bass DFA'd too? Just kidding, but still, a mildly ostentatious move. Can something be mildly ostentatious?

greenmachine
greenmachine replied on July 7th, 2008 at 10:20 pm

No, I got it: the Sox ditched Julian Tavarez earlier this season, so now it's Gardy's job to drag a mediocre-to-poor reliever into any Boston series.

 
 
frightwig
frightwig replied on July 9th, 2008 at 3:19 pm

Is there any reasonable defense for using Bass there, at all? Like, was everyone else just dog-tired for a tough weekend, or something?

Even at the start of the inning, the move didn't seem to make any sense. Baker's just pitched a superb 7 innings. It's a taut, scoreless game, where 1 run could well decide the outcome. You're on the road, in a tough venue with a loud crowd, facing a good team, the defending champs, which is running neck-and-neck with the Twins in the wild card standings, so there's a lot of pressure in that spot. So of course the manager would want to tap... a rookie who's also the worst pitcher in the bullpen!?

I guess that's what makes Gardy the best manager in baseball, hey, JoePo?

SBG
SBG replied on July 9th, 2008 at 3:54 pm

He's alive!!!!!

 
 
 
Rhubarb_Runner
Rhubarb_Runner replied on July 7th, 2008 at 10:28 pm

Good call, ubes. And boy, that Breslow guy could be a closer on any other team. D'oh!

SBG, can I change my Gardy Poll vote?

 
DK
DK replied on July 7th, 2008 at 10:49 pm

Hey ubelmann (or anyone), can you direct me to where/how this season's FIP adjustment factor is derived? I sat here for about 15 minutes trying to figure why the FIPs I have on the charts I've kept this season are all higher than Hardball Times', until I realized I'd been using 3.20 all season and it looks like the adjustment for the AL is closer to 3.04.

ubelmann
ubelmann replied on July 8th, 2008 at 12:55 am

I can't tell exactly from the description in their glossary. My guess is that if you plug in a league average strikeout rate, walk rate, and home run rate into the first term, and then subtract it from the league average ERA, you will get the constant that they add to the (HR*13+(BB+HBP-IBB)*3-K*2)/IP term. I am too lazy to check that right now, though.

 
 
GreekHouse
GreekHouse replied on July 8th, 2008 at 12:09 am

Have you all heard that Dr. Stat has a brother? His name is Dr. Save and he uses his save gun to make managers incapable of using their bullpens correctly.

brianS
brianS replied on July 8th, 2008 at 12:24 am

OMG. Fantastic.

I wonder if Reusse wrote the script for the Dr. Stat thing?

here's the link: Defenders of the Game

ubelmann
ubelmann replied on July 8th, 2008 at 12:51 am

That is one of the most amazing things I've ever seen.

brianS
brianS replied on July 8th, 2008 at 1:07 am

I will re-post as an Aside. That link deserves to be preserved for posterity.

 
 
 
 
Yickit
Yickit replied on July 8th, 2008 at 8:54 am

Ubelmann, nice Strib post. Was the time stamp right? 4:34 am?

ubelmann
ubelmann replied on July 8th, 2008 at 2:34 pm

Thanks. Yeah, that time stamp was right. I'm on the west coast, so it was just 2:34am local time. The last couple of nights I just haven't gotten to bed very early.

 
 
twayn
twayn replied on July 8th, 2008 at 10:06 am

The WGOM server hates me. After serving up several White Screens of Death last night, it just decided not to acknowledge my existance. Sort of like my kids. I'll make a sacrifice to the tube dieties tonight and see if that helps.

 
twayn
twayn replied on July 8th, 2008 at 11:54 am

I agree with Ubelmann. Gardy's bullpen management last night was, um, Bass-ackwards.

 

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