Game 98: Rangers at Twins

Padilla vs. Light Rail

So far this season, Baker has gotten 84% of his strikeouts as strikeouts swinging. That caught me by surprise. Santana, who got a ton of swinging strikeouts when his change-up dropped off the table, has 82% of his career strikeouts as strikeouts swinging. Average is 74% of strikeouts as strikeouts swinging.

Having looked around a bit, it's kind of difficult (though certainly not impossible) to find pitchers with a ratio that high. I thought maybe Randy Johnson, and he's at 82% this year, but that's a career high, and he's at 74% for his career. Pedro gets to 80-81% sometimes. Tim Wakefield is at 81% for his career, though obviously he's a much different pitcher than Baker.

Radke had a couple of seasons where he didn't get many called strikeouts--90% swinging K's in 2003--and overall was 78% for his career. This made me wonder if it was a control pitcher thing, but then Greg Maddux has just 62% of his career strikeouts as swinging strikeouts. Paul Byrd's at 74% for his career, but is up to 82% this year.

Part of it might be that Baker doesn't go to three ball counts very often. With two strikes on a hitter and fewer than three balls, he's probably more inclined to swing to protect the plate than he is to sit on a borderline pitch, hoping to get the walk--there's a lot more reward in that fourth ball than in the third ball.

Anyway, I'm not sure it's a significant thing, but it's a thing--Baker gets a lot of his strikeouts by making hitters flail and miss (especially at his slider.)

Delmon's hit parade: It's been nice to see Delmon's surge here, but he just now got his SLG over .400 and even if you focus on his stats since June 1st, his power has been short of what PECOTA forecasted. Thankfully, it now seems plausible that Delmon could be an above average corner outfielder some day, but he still has his some work to do.

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