Cup of Coffee: August 28, 2008

August 28th, 2008 by SBG

My life is so much better now that the Big Ten Network is cluttering up my cable lineup.



This entry was posted by SBG on Thursday, August 28th, 2008 at 6:28 am and is filed under Cup of Coffee. It is one of 2471 entries by the author. We are no longer accepting Letters to the Editor on this post.



Comments Feed54 Letters to the Editor

zooomx replied on August 28, 2008 at 7:56:16 am

Kevin Slowey last 5 starts = 29 K and 1 BB... wow! I know people want to compare him to BRadke, but I think he will transcend Brad's performance ceiling and will post a few years worthy of a Greg Maddux comparison. (NO... not a full Greg Maddux-like career, but a few seasons in that range). When I watch Slowey pitch, he has similar command and is so smart, calm and collected on the mound.

Reading through the game logs now that I am back in town, there seems to be some 4 alarm reactions with some of the fan base. I am thinking "one game out this late in the season? With all that has gone wrong? Wow!"

The key is this: our bullpen needs to find it's stride again. Eddie was a great pickup. Someone out in the pen other than Nathan who can tell the youngsters "so you blew up last night? Big deal. Today's a new day." I think he will help settle the boys down and we will make a run at the hated ChiSox. Our starting pitching right now is the best in the division (IMHO). We can score enough runs to win with our starting pitching. We just need to hold our leads and we will be fine.

 
zooomx replied on August 28, 2008 at 8:29:02 am

Double Wow! Cleveland passed Detroit into meaningless 3rd place in the division with a 10-0 L10. The fans in Cleveland have to be wondering what would have happened if they didn't choke the first third of the season away.

Algonad replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:04:35 am

I don't think Cleveland choked in the first 3rd of the season. The Twins wouldn't have been any good with Mauer and Morneau injured and that's basically what happened to Cleveland this year.

Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:30:55 am

Add a season-ending injury to Scott Baker and make Kevin Slowey miss an extra month, too.

socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:41:29 am

Well, if we're going there, then Perkins would be the runaway frontrunner for the AL Cy Young as well.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:31:46 am

And Cleveland just passed Detroit to get of out last place for city with the poorest average annual income, too.

 
 
 
 
punmanbowler replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:17:37 pm

I was just going to come on here and mention that. Cleveland is a really good team, and I was really surprised they didn't do better this year, but the injuries certainly explain a lot of that.

Next year could be insane in the Central between the Twins, Sox and Indians. And if the Tigers recover, even better.

Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 5:35:55 pm

Sorry this is horribly off-topic, but your avatar always cracks me up. WHY AREN'T YOU SEIZING THE BOY?!

punmanbowler replied on August 28, 2008 at 8:14:50 pm

I love that movie. I wanted to go a new direction with the "bowler" user name. So I figured I'd use him.

 
 
 
 
sheenie replied on August 28, 2008 at 8:50:34 am

Since this section is more about random posts, I thought I would put this bit of information out there... I am doing the Susan G. Komen Breast Cancer 3 day walk in the Twin Cities in September. I need to raise at least $2200 for this walk. I'm really close to meeting that goal (by really close i mean less than $1000 left). In an effort to raise money my walking team is having an online silent auction. You can find the items and information about the auction at onepinksprinkle.blogspot.com. If you don't want to bid on an item, but would still like to support the Susan G. Komen fund, please click on the "Donate here" link on the above listed website. Thanks!!!

Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:29:29 am

There's autographed Pat Neshek baseballs!

Andrew replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:39:14 am

Will and/or Sheenie - Since you have been in contact with Pat Neshek, want to see if he wants to play BKAT (Better Know A Twin)?

Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:52:12 am

Try sending an email to the moderator of his forum. I'm pretty sure that's how Sheenie got in touch with him.

sheenie replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:30:30 am

If you go to his website and register to be able to post, you will then be able to send an email to the administrator (Neshek). That is how I got in touch with him. It did take about 2 weeks before I was "approved" to post. But everyone should be checking out this silent auction!

 
 
 
bodly replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:35:46 pm

hehe. He said Neshek's balls. hehehe

Beavis n Butthead sitting in a tree, K I S S I N G

 
 
davidwatts replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:21:17 pm

mmmm
cheesecake
:drool:

 
 
socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:07:36 am

The Twins have had two other losing streaks of 4+ games this season. After a six-game losing streak in mid-June, the Twins responded by winning 13 of their next 15 games, which put them in a tie for first place. After a five-game losing streak just after the All-Star break, the Twins responded by winning 6 of their next 7 games, which also put them into a tie for first. These games in Oakland are very winnable. Hopefully, the Twins can respond to the end of the latest losing streak with another hot streak.

Also, the Twins have clinched another winning month. They're only losing month was April (12-14). They are 15-10 in August with this four-game series finishing off the month. If the Twins win 3 of 4, that will give them four consecutive months with a .600+ winning percentage.

 
socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:39:35 am

Apparently, Johan is having some urgency problems. Never mind that he has the best ERA of any starter on any contending team. Never mind that his ERA in the second half is almost a half a run better, and never mind that he had a 16-inning shutout streak going before giving up all of three earned runs on two HRs to the NL's leading HR team in their tiny bandbox of a ballpark. Apparently, Pedro is embracing the role of stopper, which is good news for Mets fans after he allowed five ER in five innings to the Phillies in the game before, which is the reason why the Mets wanted more urgency from Johan.

We should have never made that trade. Then the Twins would have started the season with Denard leading off and playing CF and the Twins would not have signed Livan. They also might not have signed Lamb and would have started the season with Buscher at third, at least against righties. And they might not have traded for Craig Monroe, instead opting for cheaper options, like Emil Brown or even just going with Randy Ruiz. Can you imagine a playoff rotation of Johan, Baker, Liriano, and Slowey?

SBG replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:14:55 am

Should have just let him pitch out the contract. Yep. It's hard to criticize Billy for that, but in retrospect, it is clear.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:36:18 am

I don't think in the long run Johan adds too many wins to what the Twins already have, but he sure would have been nice to have in the post season, and as far as compensation draft picks, I'd go ahead and take what's behind door #3, yes.

SBG replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:40:40 am

It might have meant the difference between making the playoffs and not.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:44:21 am

yeah, and who'd have known? we'll see...

Johan's replacement would have been Livan + late season F-Bomb; he might have been worth at least 3 wins there. Certainly more entertainment value than Livan.

 
Algonad replied on August 28, 2008 at 12:41:27 pm

And they still could have traded Johan by 7/31.

bodly replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:38:47 pm

Imagine what the Yankees might have given up a month ago for Johan. They're not going to make the playoffs this year. :-D

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
DK replied on August 28, 2008 at 5:00:17 pm

I'm not really sure they could have. IIRC, part of the reason Billy made the deal when he did was because Johan was making noise about refusing to waive his NTC during the season. Certainly, he may have just been using that as leverage (which obviously worked), but we can't really say for sure.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Algonad replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:49:51 am

That was my preference all along but our minor league scouting has really been a key to the team's success. Those trades have worked out awfully well for the Twins the past 5 years or so.

I'm still hoping that Gomez can be a good major league player. I know a lot has been said about his baseball IQ but I've seen a few other Twins that looked pretty clueless early in their careers too - Casilla and Cristian Guzman to name a couple. I don't mean to pick on the Latin American guys but those are the two that came to mind. You could probably put Torii Hunter's first cup of coffee in that category too.

One thing that encourages me about Gomez is that we all know how fast he is but he also hits the ball hard when he connects. He's not a Castillo or Guzman type that just try to pound the ball into the turf and leg it out. I think he could become a good all around player and not just a speed guy. He's just not there yet and is probably at the wrong level. If Cuddyer is healthy next year, you have to go with Gomez as the every day CF in AAA.

FirstTimeLongTime replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:34:22 am

Not to mention Span. Previous to his call up this year many of us had doubted his abilities. Gomez could still turn into a fine player.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:46:08 am

Gomez leads the majors in BA on ground balls. I'm sure that includes a whole lot of bunt singles, of course.

 
 
 
 
Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:50:48 am

Does Span play so incredibly well and exceed all expectations if he isn't given a kick in the ass by the FO by having his future completely doubted? I don't know.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:48:33 am

Well, his hero is Eye-Eye, and you know how he plays in contract years...

 
 
socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:36:20 am

And Poz takes a stab at supporting Johan's Cy Young candidacy.

CarterHayes replied on August 28, 2008 at 12:08:48 pm

Regarding Passan's column, I just had to point this section of Joe Pos' post out:

One way to see how lucky a pitcher has been is to look at his no decisions and losses — see how many quality starts he has among those. We’ll call those “unlucky starts.” ... So that makes him 0-1 with a 2.34 ERA in his three unlucky starts. That means Webb has really squeezed out about as many victories as he can out of this year.

As a contrast, Edinson Volquez has five unlucky starts. He is 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA in those five stars.

Tim Lincecum, meanwhile, has eight unlucky starts. In those eight games, he is 0-1 with a 1.87 ERA.

And finally to Johan Santana*, probably the unluckiest pitcher of all. He has had ELEVEN unlucky starts — that is, to remind you, eleven Q-Starts where he has either lost or gotten a no decision. in those 11 starts, he is 0-4 with a 1.97 ERA.

Maybe Santana's inability to "qualifiy games" comes from the other 24 Mets blowing so many of his really good ones? Nah, he really just needs to elevate his game.

Dread Pirate Will Young replied on August 28, 2008 at 1:48:20 pm

Scott Baker has 8 unlucky starts (despite missing time on the DL). In those 8, he is 0-4, with a 2.42 ERA.

socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 2:21:42 pm

And in his five outings in which he has allowed 4+ runs, he is 1-0 with four no-decisions and a 7.39 ERA. He either gets a ton of run support or very little. In 6 of his 7 victories, he's given up exactly 3 ER.

 
 
 
davidwatts replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:14:43 pm

for the record, this article was republished on si.com
yay

 
 
 
brianS replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:56:47 am

The corruption of Theo Epstein is complete. He was quoted this morning as saying new acquisition Mark Kotsay is a "gamer." Grindiness is only a heartbeat away.

 
Andrew replied on August 28, 2008 at 10:59:18 am

So, here's a conversation I had with Liz last night whilst watching Bones: Who's the best looking?
1) Bones/Emily Deschanel
2) Angela/Michaela Conlin
3) Cam/Tamara Taylor

Liz went 3,2,1 and I went 2,3,1. Your thoughts?

brianS replied on August 28, 2008 at 11:30:51 am

3, 1, ...... 2. Not that there's anything wrong with Angela.

Two-hour premier next week. What are they going to do to replace Zack as King of the Lab?? and having Zack turn into a killer last season?? ugh. I blame the writers' strike. that was bad.

worse, it was totally unnecessary.

Andrew replied on August 28, 2008 at 12:28:09 pm

So far, 3 opinions, and everyone has been #1 once. That's a sure indicator of quality across the board.

 
 
Beau replied on August 28, 2008 at 12:49:32 pm

1, 2, 3

 
 
freealonzo replied on August 28, 2008 at 12:20:19 pm

According to Sid's column today, Delmon Young swings at the first pitch some 47 percent of the time, second in the majors. Christ I thought he swung at the first pitch 75 percent of the time. I'm shocked it's under 50 percent.

 
SBG replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:16:04 pm

Please, oh please, oh please:

Out like a Lamb: We're hearing that Mike Lamb, just designated for assignment by the Twins, has told his old buddies in Houston he'd love to play in Philadelphia. And with the Phillies still hunting for a left-handed bat off the bench, they clearly would be interested. One big question is whether the Phillies (or anyone else) would try to trade for Lamb or just wait until the Twins release him. He can't be released until next week, meaning he wouldn't be eligible for postseason play. But because he already has cleared trade waivers, he could be dealt at any time.

Yep, I realize this is pure speculation, but a girl can dream.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:25:49 pm

I was just going to post their stat of the week, from that site:

Runs NOT Batted In (RNBI).

To compute it, you start with number of runners on base when a hitter bats, subtract the number of those runners knocked in and compute how many of those runners each hitter didn't drive in.

Justin Morneau is second in the majors with 357 (Garrett Atkins "leads" with 370).

socaltwinsfan replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:26:41 pm

That just goes to show how many opportunities he's had. With the bases empty this year, Morneau's OPS is .771. With men on base it jumps to 1.009. With RISP, it's 1.102. With two outs and RISP, it's 1.119. In high leverage situations, it's 1.058.

brianS replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:32:30 pm

the OPS numbers highlight the general silliness of RNBI. Do you demerit players for getting walked with runners on base?

so, what we need is Runners Not Moved Up. :-)

 
Big Mak replied on August 28, 2008 at 5:02:06 pm

One could look at it this way:

Taking the AL stats from 2005-2007 I computed how likely it is for a runner to be driven in (for example in 47,229 instances with only a runner on first, the runner was driven in 2,668 times - 0.054 runs per instance) in each situation. Then I applied those numbers to the number of chances Morneau has had in each situation this season.

1-- -2- --3 12- 1-3 -23 123
139 54 15 50 22 9 18
0.054 0.17 0.49 0.24 0.49 0.58 0.76

That comes out to 66 expected runs driven in. Given that Morneau has driven in 88 runners (counting runners who scored when Morneau wasn't credited with an RBI), he's well above the average.

FirstTimeLongTime replied on August 28, 2008 at 5:45:17 pm

When is your game log?

 
 
 
Big Mak replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:39:49 pm

21 of Justin's RNBI came because of intentional walks.

61% (206) of the remaining 336 runners were on first base and don't represent fantastic RBI opportunities. That's the highest percentage of anyone on the Twins roster except Brian Buscher (63%). For comparison, the hitters around Morneau in the lineup are Mauer (56%), Young (55%), Kubel (54%), and Cuddyer (56%).

As I detailed before, Morneau is getting the most chances with RISP but he's also one of the most efficient in the Twins lineup at driving those runners in.

This isn't meant to jump down Rhu_Ru's throat or anything. This is merely another counting stat that needs a bit of context to get to the real meaning.

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 9:44:29 pm

You're not jumping down my throat -- I was just passing along the info from ESPN's site. I think the stat sucks standalone.

 
 
 
 
davidwatts replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:23:48 pm

question: do crickets sleep?
if they do, I must have some mutant strain of crickets that live outside my window. All they have been doing for the last 2 weeks is chirp. Its really getting annoying.
I'm almost to the point of praying for a snowfall :lol:

Rhubarb_Runner replied on August 28, 2008 at 3:27:12 pm

We've had a bumper crop of frogs here this year, which keeps crickets down, but they're not exactly quiet either.

 
cheaptoy replied on August 28, 2008 at 6:12:26 pm

If it makes you feel any better, that same breed of crickets are in my house!.

 
 
davidwatts replied on August 28, 2008 at 4:38:09 pm

:lol:

Ryan Redmond, 7, was in the Twins’ clubhouse after the game, breaking down one of the more exciting plays of the season.
....
“Dad, way to tackle that guy,” Ryan said.
“I would have [tackled him],” Redmond told reporters. “I was fully ready for him to blow me up [with a collision], but it ended up working out.”

From JoeC's blog last night

 
davidwatts replied on August 28, 2008 at 6:35:24 pm

I forgot to post this last week
An Ode to Rondell White

The best part of that ode is the picture

 

Sorry, the LTE form is closed at this time.

Feed

http://stickandballguy.com/blog / WGOM Headlines