2009 Game 78: Twins (39-38) at Royals (32-42)

The Twins have one win on Monday this year.  May 4th.  One.  Thirty-nine victories, and these clowns have a single Monday win.  Here are the Twins' records going into my Game Logs:

April 13th: 3-4
April 27th: 9-10
May 4th: 12-13
May 18th: 18-20
May 25: 22-23
June 8th: 28-30
June 20th: 35-34
June 29th: 39-38

I know that would work for any day of the week, really, but there you have it: not a single one of them is as far as three games off of .500.  So what's the deal?  Are the Twins really under their heads, or can they be penciled in for 81 wins?  Or, and I'm just reaching here, are the Twins maybe just a reliever or two away from being runaway favorites in this division?

The good news lately is that the Twins have been performing on the road.  Probably the best way to keep up a trend like that is to visit Kaufmann stadium and the inexplicable preseason darlings the Kansas City Royals.  Even better: do it against right-handed Luke Hochevar.

RHP Nick Blackburn ERA 3.11; xFIP 4.99
RHP Luke Hochevar ERA 5.87; xFIP 4.91

Huh.  I knew those xFIPs would bring these guys closer together, but I didn't realize they'd leapfrog.  But because Blackburn leads Hochevar in LOB percentage - 74% to 54.5% - that does tend to muddy the picture a bit.

Despite the hilarious 41 Ks in 101 innings for Blackburn, he's found plenty of success in 2009 thanks to giving up just seven homeruns and managing a Slugging Against of .385.  Unsustainable?  I keep saying so to my wife, and she keeps laughing and pointing.  Nah, I'm just kidding...my wife doesn't love me enough to watch baseball with me.

Anyway, the further you dig into Blackburn's stat package, the more you figure the guy has a deal with the devil.  It doesn't necessarily look like the bottom drops out tonight, what with the Royals being the lowest-scoring team in the AL.  Still, whenever Nick's on the mound, I wonder.

Hochevar's numbers suggest he's a lot better than he looks, but now that everyone's sufficiently depressed, I'll back off.

Besides, it's Harmon Killebrew's birthday, so the Twins own this one!  It's not like he ever played for the Royals or anything.  ...right?

368 LTEs in response to 2009 Game 78: Twins (39-38) at Royals (32-42)