Your Team Is Not Bad At Hitting With a Runner on Third Base and Less Than Two Outs

Or at least, you should not suppose that your team is the worst (EVAH!) at hitting in these situations. The fans of at least 25-29 other teams in baseball, and perhaps their managers do, too:

''That killed us,'' Guillen said. ''If you watched us all year long, we're really bad with men on third base and less than two outs, maybe the worst team in baseball right now. If someone is worse than us, that's a record. That continues to bite us. Good teams score the guy from third base, and we're not doing that right now. We haven't done that all year long, period.''

Here's how teams in the AL Central have hit with a runner on third base and less than two outs:

.344/.397/.546 -- Cleveland Indians, --3, <2 outs
.310/.342/.518 -- Chicago White Sox, --3, <2 outs
.328/.356/.475 -- Minnesota Twins, --3, <2 outs
.284/.336/.469 -- Detroit Tigers, --3, <2 outs
.278/.306/.412 -- KC Royals, --3, <2 outs

Granted, this is a pathetic division, but Ozzie's Pale Hosers have an .860 OPS in these situations, which is, at worst, a completely respectable performance. Furthermore, they are chasing a team that has been worse in those situations and the team that has been best in those situations totally blew up their team and is rebuilding.

If you look at R/PA (which is, in and of itself kind of misleading), the White Sox look worse, but not even close to as bad as the Royals:

.66 R/PA -- Indians, --3, <2 outs
.65 R/PA -- Twins, --3, <2 outs
.63 R/PA -- Tigers, --3, <2 outs
.62 R/PA -- White Sox, --3, <2 outs
.58 R/PA -- Royals, --3, <2 outs

Probably a better thing to look at would be R/(PA-BB), since a walk doesn't really hurt your chances of scoring a run from third base (or if it does, it was probably an intentional walk, in which case you can't exactly decline the intentional walk):

.75 R/(PA-BB) -- Indians, --3, <2 outs
.72 R/(PA-BB) -- Twins, --3, <2 outs
.69 R/(PA-BB) -- White Sox, --3, <2 outs
.68 R/(PA-BB) -- Tigers, --3, <2 outs
.63 R/(PA-BB) -- Royals, --3, <2 outs

And here, the Mighty Whities are again in the middle of the pack and not in any danger of setting any records for clutch futility. I generally like Ozzie's antics, but pointing the finger at situations like this seems like a sure sign of a weak baseball mind. In the AL, the White Sox are 9th in OPS and 9th in runs scored. If you want to score more runs, worry about hitting better in general. Don't look back at the particular chances you squandered, because you're not getting them back again and you probably didn't do anything out of the ordinary in those situations anyway.

ozzie-guillen-choke

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