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	<title>Comments on: Projecting Target Field 2010: Part 1</title>
	<atom:link href="http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/</link>
	<description>Your Daily Source for Half-Baked Crap</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 11:06:08 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<item>
		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250613</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Dec 2009 04:21:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250613</guid>
		<description>&quot;Stupid&quot;
&quot;Worked-for-the-Mets Ville&quot;
&quot;Top Jimmy Playground&quot;
&quot;This convinced Mauer to sign!&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>"Stupid"<br />
"Worked-for-the-Mets Ville"<br />
"Top Jimmy Playground"<br />
"This convinced Mauer to sign!"</p>
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		<title>By: New Britain Bo</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250611</link>
		<dc:creator>New Britain Bo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Dec 2009 03:46:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250611</guid>
		<description>Nice job, Sean.

Any thoughts to naming the anomaly/protuberance in right field in the new park?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice job, Sean.</p>
<p>Any thoughts to naming the anomaly/protuberance in right field in the new park?</p>
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		<title>By: Rhubarb_Runner</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250366</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhubarb_Runner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 12:50:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250366</guid>
		<description>Now &lt;u&gt;that&lt;/u&gt; is a good point.  And the oppressive heat on the manager might even inhibit him from removing said pitcher when he should be removed, even adding to the issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now <u>that</u> is a good point.  And the oppressive heat on the manager might even inhibit him from removing said pitcher when he should be removed, even adding to the issue.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: frightwig</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250365</link>
		<dc:creator>frightwig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 07:48:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250365</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;I wouldn&#039;t be that surprised if part of the reason that, say, Seattle plays as such a pitcher&#039;s park has to do with playing with a pretty wet ball.&lt;/em&gt;

When Safeco Field opened, A-Rod once complained that a groundball felt like it had gone through a pool by the time it got to him at SS. Playing below sea level, next to the Elliott Bay, will do that, I guess. It also doesn&#039;t help hitters to have that bay wind blowing in from LF; and then there are the glare problems as well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I wouldn't be that surprised if part of the reason that, say, Seattle plays as such a pitcher's park has to do with playing with a pretty wet ball.</em></p>
<p>When Safeco Field opened, A-Rod once complained that a groundball felt like it had gone through a pool by the time it got to him at SS. Playing below sea level, next to the Elliott Bay, will do that, I guess. It also doesn't help hitters to have that bay wind blowing in from LF; and then there are the glare problems as well.</p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250358</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 04:55:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250358</guid>
		<description>Maybe some bureaucrat will be kind enough to put in a grant request..!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe some bureaucrat will be kind enough to put in a grant request..!</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250356</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 04:24:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250356</guid>
		<description>I think that the oppressive heat on the pitcher would be more of a hindrance than the oppressive heat on the batter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think that the oppressive heat on the pitcher would be more of a hindrance than the oppressive heat on the batter.</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250355</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 04:23:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250355</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;get some fool to provide temperature and humidity data for each game and model HRs as functions thereof.&lt;/i&gt;

If only I had the money to hire a grad student for this project! :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>get some fool to provide temperature and humidity data for each game and model HRs as functions thereof.</i></p>
<p>If only I had the money to hire a grad student for this project! <img src='http://stickandballguy.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/tango-smileys-extended/tango24/smile.png' alt='Smile' title='Smile' class='tse-smiley' /></p>
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		<title>By: CarterHayes</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250348</link>
		<dc:creator>CarterHayes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 02:18:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250348</guid>
		<description>I was aiming for facetious with the above comment, but it&#039;s cool to see an interesting discussion come of it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was aiming for facetious with the above comment, but it's cool to see an interesting discussion come of it.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhubarb_Runner</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250347</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhubarb_Runner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 02:08:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250347</guid>
		<description>Hmmm.  Well, Albert &lt;u&gt;still&lt;/u&gt; has no problems hitting them out here in mid summer.  He did a number on Slowey et. al. during one of our hottest days this past season.

Personally, I would think the oppressive heat on the batter would be more of a hindrance than the humidity on the ball.  At least my experience playing softball here would make me think that way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm.  Well, Albert <u>still</u> has no problems hitting them out here in mid summer.  He did a number on Slowey et. al. during one of our hottest days this past season.</p>
<p>Personally, I would think the oppressive heat on the batter would be more of a hindrance than the humidity on the ball.  At least my experience playing softball here would make me think that way.</p>
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		<title>By: brianS</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250346</link>
		<dc:creator>brianS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 02:01:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250346</guid>
		<description>great point about home/away splits in general.

I think that a perhaps better test than Poo-holes would be to compare HRs hit by a selection of visitors to STL to the HRs hit by the same selection as visitors in a low-humidity city. That still leaves as a problem how to control for park effects per se. 

or, even better, get some fool to provide temperature and humidity data for each game and model HRs as functions thereof.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>great point about home/away splits in general.</p>
<p>I think that a perhaps better test than Poo-holes would be to compare HRs hit by a selection of visitors to STL to the HRs hit by the same selection as visitors in a low-humidity city. That still leaves as a problem how to control for park effects per se. </p>
<p>or, even better, get some fool to provide temperature and humidity data for each game and model HRs as functions thereof.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: brianS</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250345</link>
		<dc:creator>brianS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:52:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250345</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve been too lazy/busy to learn R. But STATA has a very, very nice graphics engine.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I've been too lazy/busy to learn R. But STATA has a very, very nice graphics engine.</p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250343</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250343</guid>
		<description>I &lt;3 R. Reminds me of when I started using LaTeX for any paper I did in college. Instantly gave everything a professional look.

And I agree. OO.o&#039;s graphing abilities are terrible. Plus it&#039;s hard to use. I&#039;m gaining experience with R now and it&#039;s so much nicer. There&#039;s a wiki with a list of many different graphing options with example code to replicate it. That&#039;s how I did the radial plot, with some help from GIMP.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I &lt;3 R. Reminds me of when I started using LaTeX for any paper I did in college. Instantly gave everything a professional look.</p>
<p>And I agree. OO.o's graphing abilities are terrible. Plus it's hard to use. I'm gaining experience with R now and it's so much nicer. There's a wiki with a list of many different graphing options with example code to replicate it. That's how I did the radial plot, with some help from GIMP.</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250342</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:13:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250342</guid>
		<description>As for Pujols specifically, his career splits are at:

34.1 HR/500AB -- Home, Pujols
37.0 HR/500AB -- Away, Pujols

I&#039;m not sure that this is a significant result, but looking at the general population, hitters tend to hit more home runs at home than on the road:

16.1 HR/500AB -- Home, MLB 2009
14.3 HR/500AB -- Away, MLB 2009

Doing the roughest possible adjustment, you&#039;d figure that Pujols is coming up about 5 HR/500AB short at home compared to on the road.  That would boost his career total by 25 HR (~7%.)  Not a huge deal, but if the humidity in St. Louis is helping him hit home runs, either his &quot;home cooking&quot; is really bad or he&#039;s been an unlucky hitter in St. Louis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As for Pujols specifically, his career splits are at:</p>
<p>34.1 HR/500AB -- Home, Pujols<br />
37.0 HR/500AB -- Away, Pujols</p>
<p>I'm not sure that this is a significant result, but looking at the general population, hitters tend to hit more home runs at home than on the road:</p>
<p>16.1 HR/500AB -- Home, MLB 2009<br />
14.3 HR/500AB -- Away, MLB 2009</p>
<p>Doing the roughest possible adjustment, you'd figure that Pujols is coming up about 5 HR/500AB short at home compared to on the road.  That would boost his career total by 25 HR (~7%.)  Not a huge deal, but if the humidity in St. Louis is helping him hit home runs, either his "home cooking" is really bad or he's been an unlucky hitter in St. Louis.</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250341</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:04:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250341</guid>
		<description>I haven&#039;t done much graphing since I stopped using Excel (because I stopped having a legit copy of Excel.)  I&#039;m not terribly fond of OpenOffice calc&#039;s graphing capabilities.  One of these days I will learn a capable substitute.  Graphs can be a really useful way to communicate information, though, so I wish I did more of it.  Sean definitely did a bang-up job with this post.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I haven't done much graphing since I stopped using Excel (because I stopped having a legit copy of Excel.)  I'm not terribly fond of OpenOffice calc's graphing capabilities.  One of these days I will learn a capable substitute.  Graphs can be a really useful way to communicate information, though, so I wish I did more of it.  Sean definitely did a bang-up job with this post.</p>
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		<title>By: AMR</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250339</link>
		<dc:creator>AMR</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:01:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250339</guid>
		<description>Nothing to add, just wanted to chime in with an &quot;Awesome job, Sean.&quot;
At first I thought this was an Ubelmann project, but it seemed a bit out of character for him (I don&#039;t think he&#039;s used this many graphs).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nothing to add, just wanted to chime in with an "Awesome job, Sean."<br />
At first I thought this was an Ubelmann project, but it seemed a bit out of character for him (I don't think he's used this many graphs).</p>
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		<title>By: brianS</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250334</link>
		<dc:creator>brianS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 23:15:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250334</guid>
		<description>Shouldn&#039;t Sean&#039;s point about air density be caveated by how much moisture the balls absorb on humid days (making them heavier, per ubelmann&#039;s comment above)??</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shouldn't Sean's point about air density be caveated by how much moisture the balls absorb on humid days (making them heavier, per ubelmann's comment above)??</p>
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		<title>By: CarterHayes</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250333</link>
		<dc:creator>CarterHayes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 23:11:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250333</guid>
		<description>Indeed.  That&#039;s what I get for picking a university in Bud Selig&#039;s home state.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed.  That's what I get for picking a university in Bud Selig's home state.</p>
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		<title>By: brianS</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250332</link>
		<dc:creator>brianS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 23:04:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250332</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Given the use of the humidor in Denver, it would be interesting if balls were required to be stored in humidors at all parks, sort of the way that they keep pucks in a cooler for NHL games.&lt;/i&gt;

that&#039;s entirely to rational and reasonable for MLB. It sounds like something the NFL would require. 

but we really need some experimental data to show the effects on how balls with differing moisture contents carry, all else constant. Anybody got that?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Given the use of the humidor in Denver, it would be interesting if balls were required to be stored in humidors at all parks, sort of the way that they keep pucks in a cooler for NHL games.</i></p>
<p>that's entirely to rational and reasonable for MLB. It sounds like something the NFL would require. </p>
<p>but we really need some experimental data to show the effects on how balls with differing moisture contents carry, all else constant. Anybody got that?</p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250331</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 23:02:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250331</guid>
		<description>Should&#039;ve gone to &lt;a href=&quot;http://online.physics.uiuc.edu/courses/phys199bb/fall07/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;UIUC&lt;/a&gt;! DeLorean not included.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Should've gone to <a href="http://online.physics.uiuc.edu/courses/phys199bb/fall07/" rel="nofollow">UIUC</a>! DeLorean not included.</p>
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		<title>By: CarterHayes</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250324</link>
		<dc:creator>CarterHayes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 22:36:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250324</guid>
		<description>Given sean&#039;s lesson above, I&#039;d submit that Pujols has a vested interest in remaining in St. Louis beyond his current contract, lest he wind up signing San Francisco/Oakland, Seattle, or San Diego.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given sean's lesson above, I'd submit that Pujols has a vested interest in remaining in St. Louis beyond his current contract, lest he wind up signing San Francisco/Oakland, Seattle, or San Diego.</p>
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		<title>By: CarterHayes</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250323</link>
		<dc:creator>CarterHayes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 22:33:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250323</guid>
		<description>Thanks for clearing that up, sean.  Due to the baseball connection I&#039;ll probably remember this tidbit of knowledge longer than anything I learned in my lone physics course on color theory or sound propagation.  As a Humanities guy I&#039;ve steered as clear from physics as possible, but if I could take a course on physics applied to baseball, I&#039;d jump at the opportunity.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for clearing that up, sean.  Due to the baseball connection I'll probably remember this tidbit of knowledge longer than anything I learned in my lone physics course on color theory or sound propagation.  As a Humanities guy I've steered as clear from physics as possible, but if I could take a course on physics applied to baseball, I'd jump at the opportunity.</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250316</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250316</guid>
		<description>One interesting experiment would be to have the ball boys measure the mass of a ball or two with a precision balance before each game in the league to see if the ball changes appreciably given the varying weather conditions around the league over the course of the season.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One interesting experiment would be to have the ball boys measure the mass of a ball or two with a precision balance before each game in the league to see if the ball changes appreciably given the varying weather conditions around the league over the course of the season.</p>
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		<title>By: ubelmann</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250315</link>
		<dc:creator>ubelmann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:34:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250315</guid>
		<description>One of the things I found interesting about the humidor&#039;s success in Colorado is that apparently the moisture content of the ball makes a significant difference on how the game is played.  I wouldn&#039;t be that surprised if part of the reason that, say, Seattle plays as such a pitcher&#039;s park has to do with playing with a pretty wet ball.

Given the use of the humidor in Denver, it would be interesting if balls were required to be stored in humidors at all parks, sort of the way that they keep pucks in a cooler for NHL games.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the things I found interesting about the humidor's success in Colorado is that apparently the moisture content of the ball makes a significant difference on how the game is played.  I wouldn't be that surprised if part of the reason that, say, Seattle plays as such a pitcher's park has to do with playing with a pretty wet ball.</p>
<p>Given the use of the humidor in Denver, it would be interesting if balls were required to be stored in humidors at all parks, sort of the way that they keep pucks in a cooler for NHL games.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhubarb_Runner</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250302</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhubarb_Runner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 19:18:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250302</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies&lt;/em&gt;

Twin Cities has &lt;u&gt;nothin&#039;&lt;/u&gt; on StL&#039;s humidity, and Albert has no problems hitting them out here in the mid summer.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies</em></p>
<p>Twin Cities has <u>nothin'</u> on StL's humidity, and Albert has no problems hitting them out here in the mid summer.</p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250301</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 19:08:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250301</guid>
		<description>Thankfully, it seems he still can. Even better, it&#039;s now closer to CF. Now he can look to the bullpen and the runner on 2B at the same time!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thankfully, it seems he still can. Even better, it's now closer to CF. Now he can look to the bullpen and the runner on 2B at the same time!</p>
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		<title>By: meat</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250300</link>
		<dc:creator>meat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 18:56:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250300</guid>
		<description>At that point, &lt;strike&gt;the bartender probably should have cut you off&lt;/strike&gt; you were probably taking to the cabbie. Fixed that for you CT.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At that point, <strike>the bartender probably should have cut you off</strike> you were probably taking to the cabbie. Fixed that for you CT.</p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250298</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 18:31:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250298</guid>
		<description>Thanks. Good point, I updated the table to include percentages. Total number of balls hit was 543,543.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks. Good point, I updated the table to include percentages. Total number of balls hit was 543,543.</p>
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		<title>By: Beau</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250297</link>
		<dc:creator>Beau</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 18:26:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250297</guid>
		<description>:D</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src='http://stickandballguy.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/tango-smileys-extended/tango24/grin.png' alt='Grin' title='Grin' class='tse-smiley' /></p>
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		<title>By: sean</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250296</link>
		<dc:creator>sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 18:22:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250296</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;I confess to a dearth of knowledge when it comes to physics, but I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies, similar to the effect of the denser air in San Diego (though not to that extreme). I would wager that Denver and Dallas have drier heat than Minneapolis does in the summer months, though the Coors humidor will make up for some of that difference.&lt;/em&gt;

It&#039;s actually the reverse that is true. More humid air is less dense than drier air. &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Density_of_air&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Cribbing from Wikipedia&lt;/a&gt;:
&lt;blockquote&gt;This occurs because the molecular mass of water (18) is less than the molecular mass of air (around 29). For any gas, at a given temperature and pressure, the number of molecules present is constant for a particular volume. So when water molecules (vapor) are introduced to the air, the number of air molecules must reduce by the same number in a given volume, without the pressure or temperature increasing. Hence the mass per unit volume of the gas (its density) decreases.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
The Coors effect (and San Diego&#039;s) derives more from elevation and temperature. Coors is just so high that even cool weather can&#039;t counteract the elevation. Petco though, being so close to the ocean stays cooler to go with its low elevation. I&#039;m not sure how it compares exactly to, say, AT&amp;T park. Orientation and prevailing winds might be another factor.

&lt;em&gt;FYI, Andrew Clem just posted his preliminary Target Field diagram this weekend. I don&#039;t know if you feel more or less confident with that compared to your measurements of the seating diagram, etc., but I thought you&#039;d be interested all the same.&lt;/em&gt;
Excellent. I spent 30 minutes in the 3D seat finger trying to figure out how much the overhang hung. I eventually made the wildish guess that it was orthogonal to the foul line and it appears that Clem made the same decision. I feel better about that. It seems he also concluded that it&#039;s straightaway center that is 404 and not the corner to the left that is. Good good.

Finally, thanks!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I confess to a dearth of knowledge when it comes to physics, but I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies, similar to the effect of the denser air in San Diego (though not to that extreme). I would wager that Denver and Dallas have drier heat than Minneapolis does in the summer months, though the Coors humidor will make up for some of that difference.</em></p>
<p>It's actually the reverse that is true. More humid air is less dense than drier air. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Density_of_air" rel="nofollow">Cribbing from Wikipedia</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>This occurs because the molecular mass of water (18) is less than the molecular mass of air (around 29). For any gas, at a given temperature and pressure, the number of molecules present is constant for a particular volume. So when water molecules (vapor) are introduced to the air, the number of air molecules must reduce by the same number in a given volume, without the pressure or temperature increasing. Hence the mass per unit volume of the gas (its density) decreases.</p></blockquote>
<p>The Coors effect (and San Diego's) derives more from elevation and temperature. Coors is just so high that even cool weather can't counteract the elevation. Petco though, being so close to the ocean stays cooler to go with its low elevation. I'm not sure how it compares exactly to, say, AT&amp;T park. Orientation and prevailing winds might be another factor.</p>
<p><em>FYI, Andrew Clem just posted his preliminary Target Field diagram this weekend. I don't know if you feel more or less confident with that compared to your measurements of the seating diagram, etc., but I thought you'd be interested all the same.</em><br />
Excellent. I spent 30 minutes in the 3D seat finger trying to figure out how much the overhang hung. I eventually made the wildish guess that it was orthogonal to the foul line and it appears that Clem made the same decision. I feel better about that. It seems he also concluded that it's straightaway center that is 404 and not the corner to the left that is. Good good.</p>
<p>Finally, thanks!</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250293</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 17:54:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250293</guid>
		<description>Nice work, sean.  One question - in your final totals table, what is that as a percentage?  What&#039;s the total number of HR vs. total balls hit?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice work, sean.  One question - in your final totals table, what is that as a percentage?  What's the total number of HR vs. total balls hit?</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff A</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250291</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff A</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 17:51:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250291</guid>
		<description>More importantly, will the bullpen be located where Baker can see it?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More importantly, will the bullpen be located where Baker can see it?</p>
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		<title>By: Beau</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250289</link>
		<dc:creator>Beau</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 17:38:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250289</guid>
		<description>Possibly.  But his other weakness is the long ball...and if he can avoid giving up 50 home runs in April, it might offset that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Possibly.  But his other weakness is the long ball...and if he can avoid giving up 50 home runs in April, it might offset that.</p>
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		<title>By: CarterHayes</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250288</link>
		<dc:creator>CarterHayes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 17:36:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250288</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;This could/will be quite the pitcher&#039;s park when it gets cold. Also, if you have an itch to watch some Rangers or Rockies-style baseball, those humid 80+ degree days could be promising.&lt;/em&gt;

I confess to a dearth of knowledge when it comes to physics, but I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies, similar to the effect of the denser air in San Diego (though not to that extreme).  I would wager that Denver and Dallas have drier heat than Minneapolis does in the summer months, though the Coors humidor will make up for some of that difference.

This is an awesome post, sean.  When I saw your LTE in the CoC mentioning a desire to do this project, I really hoped we&#039;d see something come of that urge.  This post alone exceeds my wildest expectations, and there is at least another one coming.  Can&#039;t wait for it.

FYI, Andrew Clem just posted &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.andrewclem.com/Baseball/TargetField.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;his preliminary Target Field diagram&lt;/a&gt; this weekend.  I don&#039;t know if you feel more or less confident with that compared to your measurements of the seating diagram, etc., but I thought you&#039;d be interested all the same.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This could/will be quite the pitcher's park when it gets cold. Also, if you have an itch to watch some Rangers or Rockies-style baseball, those humid 80+ degree days could be promising.</em></p>
<p>I confess to a dearth of knowledge when it comes to physics, but I wonder if the humidity frequent in Minnesota summers might help reign in some of the deep flies, similar to the effect of the denser air in San Diego (though not to that extreme).  I would wager that Denver and Dallas have drier heat than Minneapolis does in the summer months, though the Coors humidor will make up for some of that difference.</p>
<p>This is an awesome post, sean.  When I saw your LTE in the CoC mentioning a desire to do this project, I really hoped we'd see something come of that urge.  This post alone exceeds my wildest expectations, and there is at least another one coming.  Can't wait for it.</p>
<p>FYI, Andrew Clem just posted <a href="http://www.andrewclem.com/Baseball/TargetField.html" rel="nofollow">his preliminary Target Field diagram</a> this weekend.  I don't know if you feel more or less confident with that compared to your measurements of the seating diagram, etc., but I thought you'd be interested all the same.</p>
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		<title>By: Dread Pirate Will Young</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250287</link>
		<dc:creator>Dread Pirate Will Young</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 17:31:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250287</guid>
		<description>So does this mean that Scott Baker&#039;s tediously long at bats will require even more pitches for him to retire the batters?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So does this mean that Scott Baker's tediously long at bats will require even more pitches for him to retire the batters?</p>
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		<title>By: cheaptoy</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250278</link>
		<dc:creator>cheaptoy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 15:39:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250278</guid>
		<description>At that point, the bartender probably should have cut you off.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At that point, the bartender probably should have cut you off.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhubarb_Runner</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250274</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhubarb_Runner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 15:06:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250274</guid>
		<description>I think what we need to look at FTLT is who had the most foul pops.  Actually, those counts might be interesting to see for opponents vs. Twins at the Dome.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think what we need to look at FTLT is who had the most foul pops.  Actually, those counts might be interesting to see for opponents vs. Twins at the Dome.</p>
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		<title>By: Milt on Tilt</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250270</link>
		<dc:creator>Milt on Tilt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:50:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250270</guid>
		<description>below what?  Cause I apparently at the bar Wednesday night predicted a .300+ average and 25 HR for Delmon this year.  Good thing I didn&#039;t put money down.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>below what?  Cause I apparently at the bar Wednesday night predicted a .300+ average and 25 HR for Delmon this year.  Good thing I didn't put money down.</p>
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		<title>By: FirstTimeLongTime</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250267</link>
		<dc:creator>FirstTimeLongTime</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:43:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250267</guid>
		<description>Great work sean.   Let me riddle you this now?  With the smaller amount of foul ground territory does it makes sense that a player like elm&#039;n who swings at everything, will have more of his attempts go foul thus increasing his value?  Or does it seem better for a player like Punto whose value lies in drawing out at bats and raking up pitch counts? 

Ah, who am I kidding? they are both going to be below average bats, no need to get my hopes up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great work sean.   Let me riddle you this now?  With the smaller amount of foul ground territory does it makes sense that a player like elm'n who swings at everything, will have more of his attempts go foul thus increasing his value?  Or does it seem better for a player like Punto whose value lies in drawing out at bats and raking up pitch counts? </p>
<p>Ah, who am I kidding? they are both going to be below average bats, no need to get my hopes up.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhubarb_Runner</title>
		<link>http://stickandballguy.com/blog/2009/11/30/projecting-target-field-2010-part-1/#comment-250265</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhubarb_Runner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:20:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stickandballguy.com/blog/?p=18056#comment-250265</guid>
		<description>I hope DSPAN2 is doing his wind sprints over the winter.

This is cool!  Looking forward to parts 2 thru X.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hope DSPAN2 is doing his wind sprints over the winter.</p>
<p>This is cool!  Looking forward to parts 2 thru X.</p>
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