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Daring to Dream

So here are the CHONE projections for 2B in 2010. You could break it down in different ways, but I'll try to roughly group them such that players within each group are more or less interchangable.

In Group A, we have Chase Utley at 6.1 WAR. No one is close to him.

In Group [...]

Adrian Peterson Fumbling Stats

An interesting look at the cost of fumbles.

Gabe Gross

Apparently Gabe Gross signed with Oakland for 0.5Thome. I think that he would have been kind of nice to have around as a 4th OF since he would be a defensive upgrade over Cuddyer and Delmon if you wanted a defensive replacement (after, say, Jim Thome pinch-hit for Delmon) and in general Cuddyer and [...]

Doesn’t that make Butera utterly useless?

Catching up on reading the beat writers, I saw this:

Heard that there are some concerns about Drew Butera's catching skills. That's why some people want Wilson Ramos up if Jose Morales isn't ready.

With a bat in his hands, Drew Butera makes Nick Punto look like Barry Bonds. If Butera's catching skills are being [...]

Brendan Harris and Casey Blake

Every time I hear about Harris getting regular time at third base, I think of Casey Blake. Is it a fair comparison? I'm not entirely sure, but here I go (again? on my own?):

.295/.363/.469, .832 OPS -- Brendan Harris, minors
.292/.371/.469, .840 OPS -- Casey Blake, minors

More or less identical, really. And if [...]

Thome Thoughts

1) It's kind of funny that this should happen right after Brett Favre comes to the Vikings. Thome has been playing against the Twins for so long between the Indians and White Sox, it has a similar feeling to it.

2) Last year, AL teams averaged 85 pinch hitting plate appearances, while the NL averaged [...]

Twins 2010 Spending

Right now, I have them at:

$88.96M for 27 players
$1.5M for Gardy (it's an estimate, but I think a good one)
$0.1M for Mike Lamb
$4.625M in 3 international free agents (Kepler, Polanco, Artist Formerly Known As Sano)

And that's with no money yet committed towards the draft and no raise for Mauer. (And no potential bonus payouts, [...]

Best Canadian Who Played For The Minnesota Twins From 2000-2009

May not be who first comes to mind. Rally has a good breakdown of the comparison in these comments:

I'll look at Morneau's good years, 2006-2009, and compare to Koskie's best years, 2000-2003.

WAR: CK 16.7 [runs], JM, 14.4 [runs]

Batting: CK 52 [runs], JM 116 [runs] - Big difference here, and batting numbers are [...]

I wonder how good Jason Kendall is at defense

The Royals' Kendall signing might not actually be that bad if he's good at defense. +5 runs/season is attainable for "above average" players at most positions. We don't really have a great way of evaluating catchers, but if Kendall is +5 runs/season, then he'd be 3.6 WAR over the last two years combined. [...]

Rule 5 Draft Complete, Twins Add No One, Lose No One Significant

Complete results. No activity even in the minor league portion. There didn't seem to be too much hype over the available picks this year, so it's tough to say that the Twins missed out on anything.

It's weird to see the Yankees trade up for a pick in the Rule 5 draft. [...]

Landon Donovan to Everton

Seems like a good move. If he doesn't get any playing time (like in Germany), then he'll be back in time for the MLS season to start. If he does get playing time, it should be good for him, too. Everton is having enough trouble these days that he should have [...]

Kouzmanoff Thoughts

- At similar ages over the same levels:

.332/.395/.556 -- Kevin Kouzmanoff, minors
.299/.354/.480 -- Danny Valencia, minors

- Given that Valencia has not been moved particularly fast through the system, I am guessing that the Twins aren't totally sold on his defense. For what that's worth.

- I am not sure if life really works this way--I [...]

2 Years for LaTroy Hawkins?

So sez ESPN.

2 years, $7.5M. I am reminded of the Kyle Farnsworth contract of yesteryear, but Farnsworth had a 5.25ish FIP the two years preceding his signing. And a mid-4s ERA. (The craziest thing I have learned today is that Farnsworth had a 3.10 FIP last year. 3.10!! Joe [...]

My Favorite One-Paragraph Brett Favre Summary To Date

From Joe Posnanski:

It’s true: There has not been a player in recent American sports — not even Derek Jeter — who has been as mythologized as Brett Favre. Favre is a gunslinger*, of course, and he’s like a kid out there, yes, a kid gunslinger, or more precisely a gunslinging kid sketching out plays [...]

Welcome Back Carl Pavano?

Everything seems to be pointing towards Pavano accepting salary arbitration tonight. I think that'll work out fine for the Twins. It seems unlikely that they'll actually stand in front of an arbitration hearing, but will probably reach some compromise on a one-year deal with plenty of incentives (maybe an option?) or maybe a [...]