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WGOM Fantasy Baseball

The WGOM Fantasy Baseball league is up and running. All those who said they would like to play can go ahead and go to this link.

League ID: 412347

League Password: Dudeabides

I believe there were 12 citizens who said they would like to join. I set it up for 16 spots, so that leaves about three spots left. Any citizen can play, just be sure to claim the spot in the comments section here if you didn't claim it in the previous fantasy post.

Fantasy Fever

It's getting to be that time and since I haven't read about anyone else stepping up, I figured I'd throw in my hat and say I'd be willing to run a WGOM fantasy baseball league if no one else wants to do it. I figure there will be plenty of citizens that want to do it.

It would probably be a free standard 5 X 5 league (five hitting stats, five pitching stats) through Yahoo! and I'll throw in a couple more bench slots than we had last year. Just give me an idea of who's interested, etc.

And if someone else was already planning on this, then just let me know. I'm fine either way.

A new breed of Twins shortstop

A few weeks ago, I read or heard somewhere that the Twins' record for home runs by a shortstop was 24 by Roy Smalley in 1979.

This got me thinking about the Twins' new shortstop, J.J. Hardy, who has managed to hit that many HRs twice in his career already (24 in 2007 and 26 in 2008), so it should not be a surprise if he sets the Twins' record this season or the next. It also got me thinking about Twins shortstops in general. I knew of Roy Smalley before he became a DH and Zoilo Versalles winning the MVP in 1965, but I couldn't remember many Twins that were known for their bat over their glove, or for being any good at all. So, I decided to do some research.

Looking at OPS+, it was no surprise to see it has been rare that the Twins have had an average or better hitter at shortstop (OPS+ of 100 or more). In fact, since Smalley was traded to the Yankees at the start of the 1982 season, the Twins have had one starting shortstop with an OPS+ in triple digits just once: Cristian Guzman in his amazing 2001 season, or rather half a season, since he completely collapsed in the second half after being an All-Star.

In fact, the Twins have had nine triple-digit OPS+ seasons from a starting shortstop just nine times in their history, and Smalley had five of them. The other four were Versalles twice and Leo Cardenas twice.  Hardy has a 99 OPS+ over the last three seasons, so he has a good chance to make it 10.

However, it should be no surprise that it is difficult to find a shortstop that is a league-average hitter, since it traditionally is one of the weakest hitting positions, so I also looked at how the Twins did as a team in sOPS+ at shortstop each year. (sOPS+ is a split statistic which compares the OPS of players at a specific split, in this case batting as a shortstop).

In their history, the Twins have gotten a 101 sOPS+ from their shortstops, which should probably be expected from a team that has had regular intervals of struggles, success and mediocrity over such a long period. However, looking from year-to-year, its apparent that the Twins have needed someone like Hardy for quite a while. The Twins had plenty of above-average production from their shortstops for the first 32 seasons, but have had quite a lot of below-average production since letting Greg Gagne leave via free agency.

Yes, even Gagne helped the Twins get better than average production from the shortstop position. His first four seasons, the Twins were in triple digits in sOPS+, followed by three in the low 90s before he left after 1992. Since then, the Twins have had three 100+ seasons from their shortstops in 17 seasons. Hardy has a 107 sOPS+ as a shortstop over the last three seasons, so it looks promising that he can reverse this trend.

The Twins started out with a tradition of quality-hitting shortstops starting with Versalles, then moving on to Cardenas, Danny Thompson, Smalley and Gagne. They got away from that and the results were pretty ugly for the most part. Here's hoping Hardy can bring back that tradition.

Notes

Some interesting facts I dug up while researching this:

Versalles doesn't have the Twins' record for OPS+ by a shortstop despite his MVP. That would be Smalley, at 122. But it wasn't in 1979. It was the year before. His OPS was only two points more in 1978, but his OPS+ was 12 points more, so 1978 must have been more of a pitchers' season.

The worst OPS by a starting Twins shortstop was 30 by some guy named Jackie Hernandez in 1968. However, the Twins' sOPS+ for shortstops that year was only 84. I'm sure Hernandez had plenty of days off while hitting like that, but still, that doesn't say much for the shortstops in the AL that season.

The worst sOPS+ for Twins shortstops was 59 in 1999. That was Guzman's rookie year when he had a 38 OPS+. Just two seasons later, he had a 110 OPS+, which was tied for the fourth best season by a shortstop in Twins' history. And it could have been the best if he hadn't hurt his shoulders.

Smalley's 1979 season was the only time a Twins shortstop hit at least 20. Hardy has averaged 20 over the last three seasons.

Beckett Baseball Preview cover (2010) – (Joe Mauer)

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

Beckett Baseball Preview cover - 2010

(Joe Mauer)


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One of the sweetest phrases ever uttered!

Pitchers and catchers report today! WOOHOO!

The Hot Stove season is over and the new season begins. Evaluation can finally begin. We can finally start to get first-hand reports on if he really is in the best shape of his life, or if he is finally healty, or ... well, you get the idea.

Beckett Baseball cover (March 2010 issue #49) - The BEST Issue

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

Beckett Baseball cover - March 2010 issue #49

"AL MVP Joe Mauer, the Best Catcher in Baseball"


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ESPN Magazine cover (2010-02-08) – “Meet Joe Mauer – America’s Fan-Friendliest Athlete!”

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

 

ESPN Magazine cover - February 8, 2010

"Meet Joe Mauer - America's Fan-Friendliest Athlete!"


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2010 Major League Baseball Yearbook & Fantasy Guide cover -

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

2010 Major League Baseball Yearbook & Fantasy Guide cover

"Joe Mauer - Has Minnesota's star catcher become baseball's best hitter?"


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Beckett Baseball cover (February 2003 issue #215) -

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

Beckett Baseball cover - February 2003 issue #215

"Twins Catching Prospect Joe Mauer"


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Beckett Baseball cover (December 2003 issue #225) -

[contributed by: Rhubarb_Runner]

Beckett Baseball cover - December 2003 issue #225

"TOP PROSPECTS" (Joe Mauer)


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Fun with Upper Deck: 2008 Box Score Memories: 6 July 2007


2008 Upper Deck A Piece of History Box Score Memories #BSM-35 Justin Morneau [Jersey Red]


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Fun with Upper Deck: 2008 Box Score Memories: 29 June 2007


2008 Upper Deck A Piece of History Box Score Memories #BSM-34 Mauer [Jersey Gold 13/75]


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This ain't no grammy!

Joe Mauer is your 2009 AL MVP and Mark Teixeira and Derek Jeter were both shut out of first-place votes! This was already mentioned in the cup of coffee, but I figured it deserved its own post.

Joe got all but one first-place vote and was second on that ballot. Some moron voted for Miguel Cabrera. You know, the idiot that went on a drunken binge in the final week of the season while his team's lead in the division was wasting away to Mauer's Twins. It will be interesting to see who voted for Cabrera. My guess is it was a Detroit writer. Either that, or the guy voted for O-Cab and the BBWAA assumed he meant Miguel.

I also have been noticing a lot of Favre for MVP love right now. Could the Twin Cities have the MVPs for the nation's two most prominent sports this year?

AL Manager of the Decade

Continuing from earlier today. I promised a followup and so here it is.

First, I am only considering the years 2000-2009 and the AL.

With that out of the way, there are several ways to sort the managers. The simplest way would be to sum the number of points received from every vote. With this method, the top six1 are:

Dude Points
Ron Gardenhire 417
Mike Scioscia 379
Art Howe 225
Eric Wedge 192
Lou Piniella 169
Joe Torre 162

The second way I thought of would be to apply the MVP award weights for the ranks each year. So, for every first place finish the manager receives 14 points. Second place is worth 9, third 8, et cetera.

Dude Points
Mike Scioscia 71
Joe Torre 55
Ron Gardenhire 53
Eric Wedge 31
Lou Piniella 27
Art Howe 27

The final method I contrived was to take the mean of a manager's rankings. This has a couple problems, primarily because any year a manager did not receive a vote is treated as a null value and not considered. There are four managers that won the award but did not receive votes in any other year plus another 11 managers that received votes in only one year. They cause too many problems, so I will just ignore them. Here is the list of every manager with votes in at least two years:

Dude Mean N
Art Howe 2.00 32
Ron Gardenhire 2.17 6
Ozzie Guillen 3.00 2
Mike Scioscia 3.13 8
Ken Macha 3.33 3
Lou Piniella 3.33 3
Jim Leyland 3.50 2
Joe Torre 4.13 8
Eric Wedge 4.25 4
Terry Francona 4.75 4
Jimy Williams 5.50 2

1: There's a larger gap between sixth and seventh than fifth and sixth, hence 1-6 rather than 1-5.
2: No not 9. Art Howe also received a second place vote in 1999.

2009 World Series Game 3

Time to find out if holding Hamels back for Game 3 was worthwhile. Despite what some might say, Hamels pitched nearly the same in 2009 as he did in 2008. FIP of 3.72 both years and his xFIP dropped from 3.78 to 3.75. True he had fewer innings, but maybe having a 24 year old pitcher throw 262.1 innings when his previous high was 183.1 wears him out a bit.

Andy Pettitte meanwhile has pitched in the postseason 12 years for 27 total series. His 237.1 innings is more than he has tallied in all but one regular season. So, it is kind of interesting to compare his rate stats from the postseason with the regular season and see how well they match. Even his W-L totals are only two off from his 162 game average: 16-9 versus 17-10.

Go Phillies! Unless you want to prove a point. Then, go Yankees!