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Evaluating Shortstops/I Covet Adam Everett…

...and he is on the market.

For a long time, offense has been king amongst statistically-minded baseball fans. I posit that there are two main reasons for this:

1) It is easier to separate individual run production from team run production than it is to separate individual run prevention from team run prevention.

2) The difference between the best hitter and worst hitter in the league in a given year (after adjusting for position) is around 100-120 runs. The difference between the best fielder and worst fielder in the league in a given year (after adjusting for position) is around 50-60 runs. In that sense, offense is what differentiates the elite players from your standard, garden variety player.

So I'm on record as saying that in a limited sense, offense is more important than defense. However, that doesn't mean that defense doesn't matter. Even a 10-20 run difference between two players on defense can make a big difference in their relative value. Defense matters.

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Santana! and Hunter win Fielding Grammies

I think Johan really is the best fielding pitcher in the game. He was recognized as such with his very own fielding grammy. Torii won another one, of course.

I-Rod i-robbed Joe Mauer of one (although Joe DID miss a lot of games) and Captain Dreamboat inexplicably did not win. Inexplicably, of course, unless you factor in defensive ability.

It’s All About the Team

BP's Joe Sheehan on Derek Jeter swinging at ball 4 (the count was 3-0) last night to try and extend his hitting streak. He has good things to say not only about Jeter, Mr.-I-Don't-Think-About-Individual-Records, as well as some other moments when the quest of personal glory superceded the game itself and one instance where it didn't.

As there is in any Yankees telecast, there was praise for Jeter as a player who is a winner, who does the little things, etc.; what there wasn’t was any discussion, at all, as to the merits of his chasing ball four on a 3-0 count for no reason other than personal advancement. I couldn’t help but wonder what might have happened had another player, a less popular one, one not anointed by the baseball press, taken the same tack in trying to extend his hitting streak.

How about this one?

I think about Randy Johnson, whose 20-win season in 1997 is as legitimate as Will Carroll’s endorsement of hair-care products. In the 161st game of the year, with the Mariners having locked up the AL West, the 19-4 Johnson was inserted into a 7-2 game in the fifth inning and threw two innings of shutout relief. By game’s end, the scoring rules dictated that he be given the win, and forever branded "20-game winner."

By contrast:

It was hard for me to not think about Mike Cameron. Back in 2002, Cameron hit four home runs in his first four at-bats in a game against the White Sox. He was hit by a pitch his fifth time up, and then went to 3-0 in his final AB. Despite it being a 15-4 game, and despite his chance at immortality hanging in the balance, Cameron took the 3-0 pitch. I gained a lot of respect for Cameron in that moment, and I think it’s an interesting contrast to Jeter’s seventh-inning hack last night.

A minor point to be sure. But, the next time you hear Jeter say in regard to the batting title that he's "not even thinking about it" your first thought shouldn't be "Wow, what a selfless guy." Your first thought should be, "That's a line of bullpuckey being fed to me to perpetuate the myth of Jeter as the spotless hero." If he's swinging at ball four when the count is 3-0 to extend a hitting streak, then he's most definitely thinking about that batting title. I'm not saying there's anything wrong about it, I'd be thinking about it, too. Since I don't really put much value in a hitting streak, I wouldn't be swinging on 3-0 at a pitch out of the strike zone. But, Jeter would.

Heard on Ad for Watch

Movado watches has the following copy:

Derek Jeter: Humanitarian, Leader, Athlete.

Humanitarian? What's next? Messiah?

It’s Not True!

I'm not writing for The Onion.

More Attention in the Big Apple

John Harper of the New York Daily News writes about the surging Geminis. Writes Harp:

But the Twins have captured everyone's attention at the moment, as a team propelled by rising young stars. Catcher Joe Mauer continues to lead the league in hitting at .375, and now Justin Morneau is beginning to fulfill expectations as a slugger, hitting .402 with 16 home runs during their 42-game run, for a total of 27 homers.

Harp talks about the "Latin Lefties" as "folks" (why are people in Minnesota "folks", and by the way Alto Diego is the guy who uses Latin Lefties, and I kind of like it -- it inspired the switch to Alto Diego) around here call them but also mentions that the Twins are scuffling at the back end of the rotation. Never fear:

And while the Twins are shaky at the back end of their rotation, a savior looms at Triple-A. Righthander Matt Garza, their first-round draft choice last year out of Fresno State, is a fireballer who has zoomed through their minor-league system.

With Twins superscout Tom Kelly sent to watch him on Tuesday at Triple-A Rochester, Garza opened more eyes by throwing a three-hitter with eight strikeouts against Charlotte, the best team in the International League, making him 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA in three Triple-A starts.

Superscout Kelly won two World Championships as a manager. You might have heard of him.

Garza has the Hispanic surname, would he and the Latin Lefties make "Three Amigos"? Ugh. I. Don't. Think. So.

So, Garza in a big league uniform this year?

The Twins are notoriously conservative with prospects, in part because they are cheap and don't want players to begin accruing service time toward arbitration and free agency too soon. But now that the Twins have played their way into a tie with the White Sox, a half-game behind the Yankees in the wild card race, Minnesota insiders believe Garza will be promoted by at least mid-August.

That's why Santana sat in the bullpen for three years accruing major league service. Because the Twins are cheap. That's why Liriano was on the major league roster at 21, because the Twins are cheap. That's why Mauer made the majors at 20, because the Twins are cheap. Maybe in situations like Bartlett (although, I'm convinced it was nothing more than Scrubini Fixation) the Twins have held back prospects with an eye on arbitration, but with full-blown studs, they get them on the roster.

I don't know if "Minnesota insiders" are saying mid-August, but clearly, Harp has read the Star Tribune and probably talked to Alto Diego. In any event, it's hard to expect the New York papers to get everything right. That they are noticing at all (are there teams other than the Yankees and Boston in the American League?) is a testament to exactly how torrid our club is right now.

And, as if things couldn't get any better, I'm hearing more and more rumblings where people are saying if Jeter was really a leader, he'd call off the dogs on A-Rod. The Captain could learn a thing or two about leadership from Pee Wee Reese, who put his arm around Jackie Robinson in 1947 on the field at the height of the racial hatred that Robinson faced. This is small potatoes compared to that of course -- that took real courage, which is why it's so stupid that Jeter hasn't said something. Or maybe he thinks that the Yankees don't need a highly performing A-Rod to win.

My Sentiments… Exactly

Eric Mack of CBS Sportsline weighs in on the A-Rod situation.

Hey, Yankee fans, be careful what you boo for.

It was once said here -- before Operation: Lightning-Rod kicked into hate alert -- those who boo A-Rod for his perceived failures in the clutch are ... well, we used a word perhaps too strong for some of you. We said morons.

But look what you damn Yankee folks have done.

You have Armando Benitez'd one of the greatest -- perhaps the greatest -- players of our generation. Melted him down to a psychological mess, much like that former Mets closer.

What is it with you player-hating New Yorkers anyway?

Yankee fans -- the worst in baseball.

Mack continues:

Perhaps you should start booing a player the Yankees are actually paying more for: Derek Jeter, at $20.6M. No one is booing Jeter for his less-than-A-Rod pace of 10 homers, which would be a career low, 99 RBI and 108 runs. He is getting paid MORE money by the Yankees than A-Rod.

We understand the need to boo. It's a necessary form of fan feedback and disapproval.

But if you can't bring yourself to boo the kingly Yankees captain who hasn't won a World Series since the Clinton administration, and you have to boo someone?

Boo, or punch, the fan next to you who has relegated this future Hall of Famer to a cautionary tale.

Jeter can do no wrong. A-Rod no right. We get it.

But you're getting what you're booing for. Red Sox fans, who once almost had A-Rod on their hands and books, are laughing at you for it.

Enjoy it, dummies.

Mack is obviously a reader of the World's Greatest Online Magazine.

Brooks Robinson: The Kid is All-Right

Hall-of-Famer Brooks Robinson says what I've been thinking. A-Rod is the best. Robinson:

I was watching TV last night and I really had to laugh at the guy who said he might be traded. There's no way in the world that A-Rod is going to go anywhere. If they don't have A-Rod, they don't win.

Then, Robinson speaks a truth loud and clear:

[Robinson] says Rodriguez's contract -- for a record $252 million -- has brought more pressure on him in recent years. Also, Rodriguez is playing alongside shortstop Derek Jeter, who has achieved iconic status after leading the Yankees to four World Series titles.

"Jeter is their guy, like I was Baltimore's guy," Robinson said. "Jeter is a terrific player too, but that's just the way fans are. No matter how bad Jeter would go, I don't think they'd ever say a negative word about him."

Robinson figures it's only a matter of time before all these struggles subside for Rodriguez.

"I just hate to see them get on him the way they get on him, no matter what he does. The guy wins ballgames for you, and he's just having a tough streak, and there's no doubt in my mind he's taking it to the plate right now," Robinson said. "When you make that kind of money, people expect you to go out there 162 games and be the best player in the league 162 days. Well, that's just not the way it works."

People booing and ripping A-Rod are blockheads. I don't care about the contract or what he says or whether he wants to be liked by everyone. That's so much bullshit. He's the best player in the game. Fans who boo him don't deserve him. And if Jeter were the leader that everyone says he is, he'd step up and tell the fans to cool it, just like Robinson did. But, something tells me that he (maybe not so) secretly enjoys seeing A-Rod suffer.

The Lovefest Goes On

I read a column by Rob Neyer the other day in which he postulated that Derek Jeter could pass Hank Aaron on the all-time hits list. For those of you that don't know, Hank Aaron is third on the all-time list with 3,771 hits. Jeter just got his 2,000th hit last week. So, Neyer is saying he has a chance to get another almost 1,800 hits. I'm not thinking he'll get there. I had thought about writing about this but I thought better of it. Then I read this by Jayson Stark:

I'm surprised more people haven't caught on to how Rose-ian a career Jeter has had. He's now 1,575 games into his career -- and he has 2,004 career hits. That's 35 more hits than Rose had 1,575 games into his own career. And how old was Rose at that point? He was 32, the same age Jeter hits this month.

Jeter has four 200-hit seasons. Rose had five at this point. But they have precisely the same number of 190-plus-hit seasons (seven) and precisely the same number of seasons with 150-plus games played (also seven). So Jeter couldn't possibly be more on track to charge into the 4,000 Hit Club.

4000 hits! Christ Almighty! Are they serious?

Through his 31 year old season, Jeter had 1,936 hits. The tenth best through the 31 year season was Sam Crawford, who had 2,103, almost 200 more hits than Jeter. To get to 4000 hits, Jeter will need 2,064 hits. Only three players in history have had more than 2,064 hits after of their 31 year old season. I find it extremely unlikely that Jeter will get to 4,000 hits. He'd have to average 190 hits a year until he is 42 to get there. Highly unlikely. Only five four players have gotten the 1,835 hits he'll need to get to Hank Aaron. That's unlikely, too.

In short, it's extremely unlikely that Jeter, who isn't even close to the top ten in hits to this point in his career will be in the top five all-time from this point further. That hasn't stopped the non-stop love fest from speculating that Jeter could reach numbers that are almost unreachable. The lovefest goes on.

Update: I forgot to put my thought on the Stark column. Either he's stealing from Neyer or there's an effort afoot to push a Jeter-for-4,000-hits meme going on. I watched an inning or two of the Red Sox/Yankees game last night and I didn't hear it, but then again it was Rick Sutcliffe. He just gushed about Jeter all night long even though he wasn't playing.