Categories

Super Bowl (Roman Numeral) Game Log — The Pursuit Of Perfection

When it comes down to it, I think I watch sports to see athletes pushing themselves to the limit, trying to be as good as they possibly can. Things I'm looking for today:

- A good game out of Randy Moss
- A good game out of Laurence Maroney
- The Giants to push the Patriots just like they did in Week 16
- Bill Belichick to make a couple of interesting maneuvers

Basically, I want the Patriots to get their 19-0 record, but I want them to have to work to get it.

AFC East vs. AFC South

Or: Andrew's Attempts to Rationalize the Colts' Chances Under the Guise of Analysis

As this year's NFL playoffs approach, I thought I might have a look at the AFC side of things, specifically the Patriots' division and the Colts' division. As the #1 team in the NFL and the #1 contender, one of these two teams representing the AFC in the Super Bowl is as close to an automatic one can get in football.

One caveat: I really don't know football that well. It's definitely not my best sport for analysis and commentary. I'll admit that up front. So if my ideas/musings are not up to the usual half-baked standards 'round these parts, that's just too bad.
Click here to continue reading AFC East vs. AFC South...

Do You Want the Patriots to Win the Super Bowl?

I definitely do.

It's not that I'm a Patriots fan -- I'm not an NFL fan. But, I am a fan of achieving excellence and this team is in position. I want the 1972 Dolphins in the dustbin of history.

Listening to the morons on ESPN this morning, I'm just outraged with their bullshit. Where is the logic? According to the talking heads, the Patriots would have been better off losing the game against the Giants if they lost the Super Bowl. What? Heads is tails. Better to lose now, in case we lose in the future?

The New England Patriots just finished the greatest regular season in NFL history. Bar none. No matter what happens from here forward, that should not be forgotten. And here's to a Super Bowl Championship to cap it to shut up that dope fiend and convicted cocaine trafficker Mercury Morris and his doddering old granddad Don Shula.

Here's Shula. He's at least got enough sense to back away from his ridiculous stances in the past. He's probably got some people around him telling him that he needs to be gracious.

(Damned ESPN. They give you the embed clip, and then make the video unavailable.)

But, watch this clip. Bob Griese tries to be magnanimous, but that fucking Morris will have none of it.

For the life of me, why doesn't someone from that 1972 team stand up and tell Morris to shut up? He's an embarrassment.

Then again, if they don't win, I'd accept a brilliant performance by Peyton Manning to knock them out and complete a back-to-back Super Bowl run. That'd make Sports Guy's head explode, which wouldn't be a bad thing.

In the absence of baseball news…

I have to say, I'm somewhat surprised that Tom Brady is considered to be such a heavy favorite for the NFL MVP award. Tonight the Patriots (551 points) will likely surpass the 1998 Vikings (556 points) as the highest scoring team in NFL history. What do those two teams have in common? Randy Moss.

In the midst of all the Brady vs. Manning discussions the last few years, the Brady backers always claimed that Peyton had a better supporting cast, and that Brady could put up numbers if he got some receivers. Well, this year he got Randy Moss and Wes Welker, and his numbers shot way up. Does this prove much of anything other than that football statistics are highly context dependent? Probably not.

Nevertheless, let's say we choose to jump into the quagmire that is NFL statistics. Much has been made of Brady's phenomenal TD total. Last year, Tom Brady threw 24 touchdowns to non-Mosses, and 0 TDs to Randy Moss. This year, Tom Brady has thrown 27 touchdowns to non-Mosses, and 21 TDs to Randy Moss. From 2001 to 2006, the Patriots changed receivers annually, but Tom Brady's QB rating remained remarkably consistent--between 85.7 and 92.6 each year. Of course, this year, with Moss and Welker, Brady's QB rating has gone up to 117.2.

Obviously this isn't an especially decisive analysis, but it appears to me as if Randy Moss has been the key to the Patriots' offensive explosion and that Tom Brady, well, that Tom Brady is who we thought he was.

How difficult is it to rebuild in the NBA? From what I've seen, I'd say that the answer to that question is "very difficult." There's some variation, but on the whole, good teams one year tend to be good teams the next year and bad teams one year tend to be bad teams the next year. Or at least, that's how it seems to me.

Anyway, I think the rebuilding issue is an interesting one. To that end, I looked up some stats on NBA All-Stars. This probably isn't the best way to judge who the best 24 players are every year, but it seems like a fairly reasonable proxy. In the history of the NBA, there have been 56 All-Star Games and 1339 All-Star selections, for an average of about 24 selections per game. Amongst those 1339 selections, there have been only 357 distinct All-Stars, for an average of about 6.4 distinct All-Stars per season.

What does this mean for a rebuilding team? On average, each draft is going to produce six or seven All-Stars.

Now, as I'm sure we all realize, there's a difference between a franchise player and, say, Tom Gugliotta or Wally Szczerbiak. And conventional wisdom would have us believe that you want a franchise player to build your team around. Rather arbitrarily, if we define a franchise player to be someone who is a 5-or-more-time All-Star, there have been 111 franchise players in the last 56 seasons. Looking at the list of guys who have been an All-Star five or more times, this seems like a reasonable (though imperfect) categorization.

What does this mean for a rebuilding team? On average, each draft is going to produce about two franchise players, and there's probably a good deal of variance around that number.

So I guess it seems likely that with good draft position, the Wolves could assemble a nucleus of 2-3 All-Stars. But it doesn't seem especially likely to me--even with good draft position and good luck in the lottery--that they will find a franchise player in the next two or three drafts.

I Feel Bad for Mike Vick

I feel bad for Mike Vick. I do.

I don't approve of what he's done. It was cruel and sadistic.

But, I feel bad for him. He's going to the Big House for almost two years. I think that's a lot, maybe too much. But, then again, he failed a lie detector test, he tested positive for marijuana after pleading guilty, he showed he didn't get it. So, it's not surprising I guess that he got the sentence that he did.

I had to laugh when I read about his lawyer's explanation for Vick's drug use: he was "self-medicating" for clinical depression. Well, isn't that what pretty much every drug user is doing? Self-medicating? That's not flying in front of any judge with a brain in his head.

I want people with talent to exploit those talents. I want people to succeed. Vick has a lot of talent, and he's thrown it all away. Now, he'll pay a huge price. He may never play in the NFL again. I hear he has money problems. Good grief. All that money, blown. What a shame.

I feel bad for him, even if I don't approve of what he's done.

Patrick Reusse Gets His Wish

I was listening to Reusse on his Sunday morning show yesterday. When the topic of the Vikings came up, Patrick indicated that because of the national interest in running back Adrian Peterson, NBC was contemplating moving at least one (and possibly more) Viking games to the Sunday night time slot.

Mr. Reusse did not want this to occur, because that game time interferes with his ability to make deadline on stories. So, he wished that Peterson would suffer a "non-career threatening" injury so that the Vikings wouldn't be moved to the late time slot. Of course, Peterson was hurt on Sunday and the reports are that he has a partially torn lateral collateral ligament in his knee. So, good for you, Patrick. You won't be facing any imminent deadlines on your columns.

Also, Everything Written About Tom Brady Is The Complete Opposite

Via John Clayton

"He's a great player," Brady said of Moss. "I think everything that's been written about him is the complete opposite. He's a great teammate. He's a great player. He's very coachable. He's very selfless. He's a great worker. He leads by example."

He doesn't attempt to run over traffic cops. He's never left the field before the game was over. Everything written about him is the complete opposite.

Brady or Manning?

We don't talk a lot about the NFL, but I would be lying if I said I wasn't looking forward to Pats v. Colts. The Pats are making a mockery of the league this year and Tom Brady is in full-on assault of the single season QB record book. (How much of that is attributable to #81? I think a lot.)

I'm a Peyton guy -- I think he's a great QB and on the short list of all-timers. I think, prior to this season, that Brady's been a little overrated -- but even still, I think he's easily second best in the league. And now? Wow, he's been off the charts in 2007. As I mentioned above, I think having a motivated Randy Moss lining up on your team makes anyone look better. He's still a singular talent.

With the proverbial gun to my head, I think that Peyton Manning is still the best quarterback in the NFL. But, that's no slight to Brady. He's carving out an all-timer type of career, too. Do you agree with me? Or are you going with Brady? Or maybe you are a Tarvaris guy. (Sorry about that last crack.)

Gregg Easterbrook Feels Sympathy for Michael Vick

Good grief:

Remember, the charges against Vick are accusations. The Duke lacrosse mess reminded us that accusations are not the same as guilt and that prosecutors might be unscrupulous.

True enough (well actually, accusations are not the same as a conviction, which is proof of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, but considering the rest of the article, this is a very minor point). But at this late date, with all of his co-defendants copping pleas and agreeing to testify against him, and with Vick's lawyers desperately trying to work out a plea bargain, you are going with "the prosecutors might be unscrupulous"? Breathtaking. Speaking of breathtaking, here's part of the reason why Easterbrook feels sympathy.

Next, I feel sympathy for Vick because he made his own problem worse. The Greeks knew 2,500 years ago that the most tragic events are those of our own making. When the dogfighting accusations surfaced, Vick was called to New York to meet with Roger Goodell. The NFL commissioner sternly warned Vick not to lie. The Atlanta quarterback then swore he knew nothing about the dogfighting house, and Goodell allowed Vick to take the stage at the NFL draft a few days later. The Iron Law of Scandals holds: Lying about what you did is worse than what you did.

No kidding, those are actual quotes from an article posted at ESPN.COM. He says, in the same article, that the prosecutors might be unscrupulous AND that Vick lied to the Commissioner. Because of this, Easterbrook feels sympathy for Vick. And no, Gregg, you moron, lying about killing dogs is not worse than killing dogs. Just as lying about killing a person isn't worse than killing a person. And even so, you feel sympathy for him because he's not only a heartless animal abuser but a liar to boot?

There's more:

You don't need to be Dr. Freud to see the parallels between killing a dog that lost a fight and cutting an NFL player who had a bad game -- or shrugging as a soldier dies in the Iraq desert because the Pentagon didn't care that a corrupt defense contractor stole the money that was supposed to be used for armor.

What? Is this supposed to make it all right? I'm not following.

Vikings to Join AFL.

ziggy-cartoon.jpg

The Minnesota Vikings have announced that they will switch leagues to the Arena Football League. Owner Ziggy announced the move, saying that he was excited to move the Vikings into a league more commensurate with the Vikings tradition. After years of playing inside an arena and a couple of years playing at the Arena level of talent, the Vikings made the move official. Ziggy is hoping to meet Jon Bon Jovi and maybe even John Elway.

Brad Childress declined comment.

CC Weighs in on Randy Moss, Packer

Go on over to SBG Citizen Cheesehead Craig's Oracle of Cheese for his take on the Moss to Packers rumors. I love that picture, CC!

Heard on KFAN Yesterday

The Green Bay Packers are reportedly "very interested" in Randy Moss. I'd get some perverse glee watching Packer fans cheer for Moss.

Hear, Hear

Rachel Blount of the Strib:

When it was revealed that baseball planned to make its Extra Innings pay-TV package available only through DirecTV, Sen. John Kerry took it up with the Federal Communications Commission in the name of public service. When the NFL's lawyers shut down the big-screen church parties to protect their Nielsen ratings -- because the league just doesn't make enough money -- the outcry didn't extend beyond talk radio.

Never mind that the NFL has its NFL Ticket plan on DirecTV exclusively and just a couple of years ago reupped with so much as a wimper. But, if baseball does it, Congress is getting involved? Now, perhaps baseball's anti-trust exemption prompts more Congressional inquiry. But, how about this heavy handed maneuver to not allow churches to have Super Bowl parties? Just imagine if baseball did the same thing during the World Series!

People may sometimes wonder why I bad mouth the NFL. It's because someone, somewhere should say something.

Colts Win, Peyton Manning MVP

I'm pretty sure that God doesn't care that the Colts won the Super Bowl, the comments of Tony Dungy and Robert Irsay notwithstanding.

Regardless, Manning has been the best player in the league for last five years. Tonight, there are no criticisms that can be levied about his play with a straight face.

Super Bowl, Home Boy!

Get on the record as to how it turns out.

Update: Bah! My neat new ajax polling isn't working! Just put your predictions in a LTE.